Peter's Blog

Two Truths and a Lie From Trump’s 2025 Macro Policy

Trump’s tariff regime has led to an extremely unique economic situation. While inflation for some goods is high, many other goods have little inflation, and new job creation is lagging. Any Keynesian economist could weasel their way around this, but it gives compelling evidence against the assumptions of their most revered models. The Phillips curve […]

Peter Schiff: The Fed Welcomes QE Back

On Thursday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter walks through the Federal Reserve’s stealthy pivot on monetary policy and explains why that move matters more for inflation and markets than talk of tariffs. He also highlights how precious metals — particularly silver and mining stocks — are leading this leg of the bull market, […]

Money Supply Surges to 3-Year High as Fed Quietly Eases Policy

With the market betting on a rate cut at this week’s FOMC meeting, many are hoping for another few months of easy monetary policy. Money supply growth data, however, shows how monetary policy is already too free, and the money supply is already growing too much. The following article  was originally published by the Mises […]

Fed Trims Rates Again—Gold Vaults Past $4,200 Anyway

In a hotly-anticipated announcement, the Federal Open Market Committee shaved its federal-funds target by another quarter point on December 10th, setting the range at 3.50 – 3.75 percent. Fed officials insist the U.S. economy is still expanding at a “moderate pace,” yet the same statement concedes that job gains have cooled and unemployment inched higher […]

Fed Governor Bowman Tries to Reassure House Committee

Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman assured House lawmakers on December 2nd that the “Federal Reserve” “banking system remains sound and resilient,” citing robust capital ratios, ample liquidity, and falling non-performing loans. Testifying before the House Committee on Financial Services, she painted a largely upbeat picture of traditional banks even as gold prices—often […]

What Will Black Friday 2025 Tell Us About American Consumers?

Black Friday, the ultimate consumer holiday, has lost some of its luster in recent years as Americans become increasingly indebted, cash-strapped, and hamstrung by high inflation. Known as an all-out buying bonanza where shoppers flood retailers for deals on everything from TVs and toys to kitchen utensils, this year all signs point to a muted […]

Fed Ends QT with a Balance Sheet 75% Higher than Pre-Covid

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet The Fed has decided to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) on December 1st. In late 2019, the Fed balance […]

Peter Schiff: Fed Cuts Signal a Weak Economy

On Tuesday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter contends that the recent market bounce is being driven less by real economic strength and more by Fed signaling that rate cuts are coming. He walks through how central bank rhetoric, rising yields abroad, and domestic affordability pressures paint a picture of an economy strained by […]

Schiff on Market Overtime: Bitcoin Looks Vulnerable

In his latest appearance on Market Overtime, Peter lays out a clear wager: central banks are quietly rebuilding their gold reserves while Bitcoin faces structural risks that could trigger a rapid collapse. He connects the dots between central-bank buying, corporate Bitcoin plays like MicroStrategy, and the larger speculative mania around crypto and A.I., arguing that […]

The Battle Over Gold: Central Bankers Split on What It Means

Gold has had a record-breaking year, and its surging price is an indictment of the current monetary landscape in America. The public is waking up to this fact, and it continues to reveal disagreements in how central bankers think about gold. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed do […]