Peter's Blog

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released its latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Tuesday, and the report offered little new for markets to digest. Total openings in May held at 7.6 million, hires came in at 5.2 million, and separations totaled 5.1 million. The underlying rates (openings at 4.6%, hiring at 3.3%, […]

New York Federal Reserve President John Williams didn’t show up to Tuesday’s Crane’s Money Fund Symposium in person, but his prepared remarks got out anyway. Gold didn’t care either way. Williams described the U.S. economy as “resilient amid the uncertainty” from the Middle East conflict, pointing to steady consumer spending and “robust” artificial-intelligence investment. In […]

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect. One key metric shown below is the “Wenzel” 13-week annualized money […]

The latest figures show the money supply growing at its fastest pace in over four years, with consumer prices climbing right alongside it. Yet the Federal Reserve continues to insist its policy stance is at least moderately restrictive, even as real wages fall further behind inflation. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

On June 17th, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept its federal-funds-rate target at 3.50–3.75 percent, repeating its wait-and-see stance even as headline inflation refuses to retreat to the central bank’s two-percent objective. In a unanimous 12–0 vote, policymakers argued that U.S. growth “is expanding at a solid pace” and promised, in their words, “The […]

As Kevin Warsh takes over as Fed chair, his stated preference for narrower, trimmed inflation measures is drawing scrutiny, and for good reason. Though it is technically correct that government-driven price hikes from wars, lockdowns, and years of interventionist policy are not “inflation” in the strict monetary sense, Warsh’s push to exclude them from the […]

For generations, the wisdom passed down at kitchen tables was simple: spend less than you earn, save patiently, and let time do its quiet work. That world has been inverted. For over two decades, the Federal Reserve has systematically penalized savers through artificially low interest rates and persistent inflation, undermining the concepts of sufficiency and […]

Last week Peter joined Shannon Joy on her podcast to warn listeners that runaway government spending and a corrupting alliance between state and corporate power are eating away at living standards. He connects collapsing consumer confidence, rising interest rates, and a political media culture that shields power to make the case that savers need sound […]

Peter recently joined Kai on Soar Financially to lay out why gold and silver are sitting on the verge of a real move and what could finally trigger a breakout. He walks through the mispricing he sees in precious metals and related stocks, explains why collapsing real rates will be the tailwind markets are missing, […]

Although most stablecoins are touted as the next step for currency and a needed player in financial innovation, they have several fundamental flaws that make them even less suitable than the American dollar. Stablecoins are electronic currencies tied to USD, and in most situations, stay within a few percent of the dollar’s value. While historically […]