Peter's Blog

Indian Silver Imports on Record Pace as Demand Surges

Indian silver imports are on pace to triple this year as investors bet the white metal is primed to rebound and outperform gold in the near future. Silver prices have dropped to 2-year lows, and the silver-gold ratio has risen to nearly 90-1, signaling that the white metal is significantly undervalued compared to gold.

Comex Inventories Plummet – Is a “Vault-Run” Underway?

Gold and silver deliveries on the Comex have surged since March 2020. While delivery volume in 2021 and 2022 are below the massive amount seen in 2020, overall volume is very elevated compared to pre-Covid levels.

Now What? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Aug. 12, 2022

The Consumer Price Index data for July cooled even more than expected. The question is how will the Federal Reserve play this? In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey breaks down the CPI data, talks about the Fed reaction, and speculates about the Fed’s next move and its impact on […]

Treasury Runs Second Largest July Deficit of All Time

The Federal Government ran a $211B deficit in July. Except for February, this was the largest deficit since last July when the Treasury ran a deficit of $302B, and it was the second-largest July deficit ever.

The Tax Man Cometh! And Not Just for Billionaires

The tax man cometh! And thanks to the Democrats in Congress, there will be more tax enforcers shining their lights into the nooks and crannies of Americans’ finances.

July CPI Pauses – Is Peak Inflation Over?

The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for July came in nearly flat at -0.03%. This was on the heels of a blisteringly hot June number of 1.35%. While inflation did surprise to the downside, it had been expected to be much lower due to the fall in oil and drop in gasoline prices. The YoY […]

US Debt: The Sting of Higher Interest Rates is Just Getting Started

The Treasury increased the total debt by $27B in June. Activity slowed in the latest month across all instruments, but particularly the conversion of short-term to long-term. After massive moves to extend debt maturity and shrink short-term debt by $530B over 4 months (shown below by the large negative turquoise bars), July went very quiet.

Jobs Report: Be Careful What You Wish For

According to the BLS, the economy added 528k jobs in July, blasting past analyst estimates of 250k. The strong report comes on the heels of a Fed meeting last week that made a point to state they are hyper-focused on the job market as a sign of a weakening economy. The White House and Fed […]

Jobs, Jobs, Jobs! SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Aug. 5, 2022

Jobs are on everybody’s mind as the July employment report comes out. Will the labor market show more cracks? Or will it give the pundits more room to spin the idea that we’re not really in a recession? In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey talks about the labor market and […]

Is a Falling Trade Deficit Further Proof of Recession?

The June trade deficit fell for a fourth straight month to -$79.6B. While the deficit continues to drop from all-time highs, it is still larger than any month before 2022. June eclipsed December 2021 by $750M. December was a new record then, so the current deficit should be put into the context of longer history […]