Peter's Blog

Commitment of Traders (COT) Report: Are the Gold Shorts About to Get Squeezed?

Please note: the COT report was published 7/29/2022 for the period ending 7/26/2022. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. As discussed last month, overall net positioning is the smallest it has been since May 2019. Then, on July 12, Managed Money went short gold for the first time since April 2019. Are those shorts […]

Comex Deliveries: August Gold Starts Strong

Delivery volume in the July gold contract got off to the weakest start in years, but then had a major mid-month rally, turning it into one of the strongest minor months in recent history. Over the last 15 months, it only trailed the blow-out month of March. Momentum has continued in the August contract.

Spin Cycle: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 29, 2022

This week, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates another 75 basis points despite a second straight quarter of negative GDP growth. Meanwhile, Congress is debating a big government spending bill to “reduce inflation.” In this week’s Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey tries to unspin all of the spin and government propaganda to make […]

Fed Balance Sheet Reduction: Too Little Too Late

Another month in and the Fed is still struggling to implement Quantitative Tightening (QT). According to the plan the Fed outlined last May, the central bank should be shrinking the balance sheet by at least $47.5B a month, spread between $30B in Treasuries and $17.5B in MBS. That’s not happening.

Money Supply Growth Rate Drops Below 2008 Level

Money Supply growth is falling rapidly. Two of the last three months have seen a decrease in the seasonally adjusted M2 Money Supply with the recent month dropping $17B. Given that April was the first contraction in 12 years, two of the last three months being negative is an ominous sign.

Technical Analysis: Is This Capitulation?

The price analysis two months ago concluded that a neutral market had been found between $1800 and $1850 and was waiting to see a break of resistance or support. It leaned bullish with indicators showing the down move had run its course but it also highlighted the risk that a drop below $1800 and $1750 brings $1680 […]

Comex Update: Gold Sees Massive Delivery Volume Mid-Month

Gold started July delivery activity as the weakest minor month since 2019. This showed a general lack of interest in the market. Considering the activity since then, it’s possible this was a signal of capitulation. Since the start of the delivery month, activity in the July gold contract has exploded.

Words Matter! SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 22, 2022

We’ve heard all kinds of excuses for inflation. It was COVID. It was Putin’s price hikes. It’s greedy corporations. This week, we learned it’s the millennials’ fault. As host Mike Maharrey explains in this week’s Friday Gold Wrap, all of these notions miss the mark. And they let the real culprit get off scot-free. How? […]

Now in Effect: Virginia Law Expands and Extends Sales Tax Exemption on Gold and Silver

On July 1, a Virginia law extending and expanding a sales tax exemption on the sale of gold and silver bullion and coins went into effect. Ending the sales tax will relieve some of the tax burdens on investors, and take a step toward treating precious metal bullions as money instead of a commodity.

Comex Inventory: Why is Registered Collapsing During Backwardation?

This analysis focuses on gold and silver within the Comex/CME futures exchange. See the article What is the Comex? for more detail. The charts and tables below specifically analyze the physical stock/inventory data at the Comex to show the physical movement of metal into and out of Comex vaults.