Peter's Blog

The Fed’s Sophie’s Choice: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 15, 2020

It happened again. The CPI data for June came in hotter than expected. Prices rose at the fastest pace in this inflationary cycle. That pushes the Fed ever closer to having to make a very difficult choice. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, host Mike Maharrey breaks down the most recent CPI data […]

Treasury Fails to Capitalize on Record Tax Revenues

The Federal Government ran an $89B deficit in June. This was an increase MoM but below the June deficit last year of $174B.

June YoY CPI Was Horrific – The Next Three Months Could Be Worse

The latest seasonally adjusted inflation rate for June came in at a blistering 1.35% MoM and 9.11% YoY, beating expectations of 1.1% and 8.8% respectively. All prices rose in May with 8 of 11 categories rising faster than the 12-month trend, representing 94.7% of the total CPI.

Three Reasons We’re Having a Silver Sale

Silver has dipped below $20 an ounce for the first time in two years. But given silver’s fundamentals, the current economic dynamics, and the trajectory of the Fed, silver appears very oversold. For the next week, you can take advantage of the lowest silver spot price in years, and we’ll even sweeten the deal with […]

Treasury Interest Cost Will Soar Past $500B in the Months Ahead

The US government increased its total debt by $69 billion in June. The average interest rate on all of that debt is also going up, a growing problem for the borrow and spend government. The Treasury Department continues to roll short-term Treasury Bills into longer-dated securities, allowing $148B in Bills to roll off the debt […]

Peter Schiff: This Won’t Be a Short Shallow Recession

The mainstream seems to have conceded that the economy is heading toward a recession. But most people aren’t too worried. They seem to think the downturn will turn out short and shallow. In his podcast, Peter explains why the recession will more likely be long and deep. Since people don’t understand the nature of the […]

Jobs Report: Revisions Have Turned Negative

According to the BLS, the economy added 372k jobs in June. This exceeded the 250k market expectations and seems to indicate the labor market is more resilient than the rest of the economy which the Atlanta Fed currently forecasts as being already in recession. While resiliency is a positive sign for the economy, a strong […]

Writing Checks They Can’t Cash: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 8, 2022

The Federal Reserve is putting on quite the tough guy act. Everybody is convinced the central bank is going to keep up the inflation fight even if the economy gets shaky. In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap podcast, host Mike Maharrey talks about the Fed’s hawkish messaging and wonders out loud if the […]

Yearly Trade Deficit Approaches $1T

The May trade deficit came in at -$86B. This was another MoM decline but the monthly deficit is still significantly larger than it was at any point before 2022 as shown below. One of the biggest concerns is the Services Surplus contracting by 8.1%.

Silver at a Discount: Silver-Gold Ratio Hits 2-Year High

The silver-gold ratio hit a two-year high this week, indicating that silver is significantly undervalued compared to gold.