Peter's Blog

US Treasury Sets First Quarter Borrowing Record

The US government has hit borrowing levels not seen since the peak of the financial crisis. The US Treasury’s net borrowing totaled $488 billion from January through March, according to a statement released Monday. That was $47 billion more than the department’s estimate. It was also a record for first quarter borrowing, according to Bloomberg.

“Bond King” Not Bullish on US Government Bonds; He’s Looking at Gold

He’s been dubbed the “Bond King,” but Jeffery Gundlach isn’t particularly bullish on bonds right now – at least not US government bonds. And he’s certainly not bullish on stocks. Gundlach has his eyes on gold. Gundlach heads DoubleLine Capital, overseeing some $119 billion in assets. During a speech at the 2018 Sohn Investment Conference last week, he said […]

The Ace Up China’s Sleeve

Last week, Pres. Trump said US markets might have to endure some short-term pain if the trade war with China escalates. But never fear, in the long run, everything will be great! We have to do things that other people wouldn’t do. So, we may take a hit, but you know what, ultimately, we’re going […]

Rising Financial Stress for Consumers Could Spark Gold Rally

Expectations that the Fed will continue and perhaps even quicken the pace of interest rates hikes have created headwinds for gold. But there another side to the rising interest rate phenomenon that a lot of people in the mainstream seem to be missing. According to a recent Bloomberg report, the prospect of a higher interest […]

The Fed Is Limited in How Much It Can Tighten: Here’s Why

The Federal Reserve claims to be tightening. According to the conventional wisdom, the Fed will raise interest rates at least three times in 2018 – maybe even four. And last fall, the central bank announced its plan to begin shrinking its balance sheet. But have you actually looked at the Fed’s balance sheet? Dan Kurz […]

China and Japan’s Nuclear Option in the Pending Trade War

China, Japan and some other countries have a nuclear option they could use in the pending trade war. If deployed, it could serve as the pin that pops the stock market bubble. At the same time, it could put the US government in a nasty spot as it tries to fund its profligate spending and upward […]

Peter Schiff: Gold Is Going to Go Ballistic (Video)

Ten-year Treasury yields flirted with 3% this week, hitting a four-year high of 2.95. Does the Treasury yield hold the leash of the stock market? Peter Schiff talked about it in an interview with Liz Claman on Fox Business, saying the Fed has kept rates artificially low for years, but given current conditions, it’s inevitable […]

Analysis: Where Bonds Go, Stocks Will Follow and They’re Going Down

During a podcast last month, Peter Schiff asked a key question: who is going to buy all of the debt necessary to finance the ballooning US deficit? In his most recent analysis, Dan Kurtz at DK Analytics explores this question more in-depth and comes to generally the same conclusion. The dollar has lost more than […]

Bond Yields Up, Dollar Down…What Gives?

The US dollar dropped to its lowest level in three years Friday. Extending losses on Thursday, the dollar index against a basket of six currencies dropped to 88.253. This marks its lowest level since December 2014. A Reuters report noted that “Traders’ confidence in the dollar has also been eroded by mounting worries over the United […]

Who Is Going to Buy All This US Debt?

During a podcast last week, Peter Schiff asked a key question: Who is going to buy all of this US debt? The US Treasury Department plans to auction off around $1.4 trillion in Treasuries this year. And it won’t end there. The department expects that pace of borrowing to continue over the next several years. […]