Peter's Blog

Recession Early Warning? US Yield Curve Inverts

Peter Schiff has said a recession is a done deal. Since he made that comment, we’ve seen more and more signs of a looming economic downturn.  On Friday, we got another. The yield curve inverted, historically a sign of a looming recession. The yield on 10-year Treasurys fell below the yield on 3-year bonds for […]

Peter Schiff Talks Yield Curves, Inflation and the Looming Recession

Last month, we reported that the global yield curve inverted, signaling the possibility of a looming recession. While narrowing to levels not seen since right before the 2008 financial crisis, the yield curve has not inverted in the US. In his most recent podcast, Peter Schiff said he doesn’t think it’s going to happen. He said […]

Average Global Yield Curve Inverts, Could Signal Looming Recession

The economy is strong! Or so the mainstream financial talking heads tell use every day. Meanwhile, one of the best predictors of a looming inflation is flashing red. The yield curve between the two and 10-year Treasuries narrowed to around 34 basis points this week. That’s the lowest level since 2007 – right before the financial […]

Ill Omens in the Bond Market? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap 04.20.18

The SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap podcast combines a succinct summary of the week’s precious metals news coupled with thoughtful analysis. You can subscribe to the podcast on iTunes.

Troubling Signs in the Bond Market: Yield Curves Going Flat

There are some troubling signs for the economy in the bond market. Yield curves are going flat. On Wednesday, the yield curve from 5 to 30 year bonds flattened to as little as 29 basis points. That represents the narrowest spread since 2007. The yield curve between 2-year and 10-year Treasuries also narrowed, touching 41 […]