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August 2, 2023 Original Analysis

Easing Price Inflation Is Transitory

Is price inflation really heading back toward the Federal Reserve’s 2% target? Most people in the mainstream seem to think so, and the recent drop in the consumer price index (CPI) appears to support this belief. Price inflation has trended downward over the last several months, with the annual CPI falling from a high of […]

July 27, 2023 Original Analysis

The Fed Follows Its Script and Hikes Again; What’s Next?

I’ll say this about the Federal Reserve: it tends to follow the script. Everybody expected that the central bank would hike rates at the July FOMC meeting, and that’s exactly what it did. The Fed boosted the federal funds rate another 25 basis points to 5.25 to 5.5%.

July 23, 2023 Original Analysis

Millennials Investing in More Gold Than Boomers or X-ers

Millennials are buying more gold than Boomers or Gen-X, according to a recent survey. But there’s a catch. Millennials are also more likely to invest in paper gold instead of physical metal.

July 19, 2023 Original Analysis

Massive Bank of America Paper Losses Underscore Problems in the Banking System

Four months after the failure of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank, the financial crisis sparked by Federal Reserve rate hikes continues to simmer under the surface. As of the end of the first quarter, Bank of America had over $100 billion in unrealized losses on its bond portfolio. This is the exact problem that […]

July 18, 2023 Original Analysis

Better Get Ready; Central Bank Digital Currency Is Coming

You had better get ready for the world of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) because they are coming. And they are coming fast. According to a recent survey by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), as many as 24 CBDCs could be in circulation by 2030.

July 16, 2023 Original Analysis

Fiscal 2023 Budget Deficit Already Higher Than Last Year’s Total With Three Months to Go

With three months left, the fiscal 2023 budget deficit has already eclipsed the massive 2022 shortfall. The US government ran a $227.77 billion deficit in June, pushing the total fiscal 2023 shortfall to $1.393 trillion, according to the Monthly Treasury Statement for June.

July 12, 2023 Original Analysis

Just What the Fed Ordered! CPI Comes In Lower Than Projections

The Federal Reserve got just what it needed – an even cooler-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) report card for June. This could give the central bank a plausible excuse to back off its inflation fight. But make no mistake, inflation isn’t dead or buried.

July 10, 2023 Original Analysis

The Federal Reserve Should Invest in a Dartboard

Most people believe members of the Federal Reserve are highly trained experts who are imminently qualified to run monetary policy.  Guided by this perception, the mainstream treats Fed pronouncements as gospel. But if you compare Fed projections to actual outcomes, it looks like they’re just guessing. In fact, you would probably get more accurate results […]

July 5, 2023 Original Analysis

An Amazing Freak Show: Treasury Increases National Debt By Over $850 Billion in Just One Month

A month ago, the fake debt ceiling fight ended and Congress suspended the federal government’s borrowing limit for two years. Since the debt ceiling deal, the US Treasury has added a staggering $851 billion to the national debt.

July 4, 2023 Original Analysis

Happy Insurrection Day!

Today we celebrate insurrection. No. I don’t mean the fake Jan. 6, 2021, “insurrection.” I’m talking about the bonafide insurrection staged by American colonists against the British government. We call July 4 “Independence Day.” But the British called it an act of rebellion.