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July 3, 2023 Original Analysis

Fed Economists Warn of Looming Disaster Due to High Interest rates

A note recently published by two Federal Reserve economists reveals a looming catastrophe. The Fed’s interest rate hikes have already precipitated a financial crisis. The central bank managed to paper over that problem and get it out of the headlines with a bailout program. But it didn’t solve the problems. Banks continue to tap into […]

June 27, 2023 Original Analysis

Interest on the National Debt Poised to Rise at an Alarming Rate

Since the end of the fake debt ceiling fight on June 2, the Treasury has borrowed an additional $700 billion pushing the national debt over $32 trillion. Looking at the interest rates on this new debt, it becomes clear that the US government has a big problem.

June 26, 2023 Original Analysis

What Would the Founding Fathers Say About Our National Debt?

The national debt recently blew past $32 trillion. As we approach America’s birthday on July 4, it might be a good time to consider what the founding fathers would have thought about this massive indebtedness.

June 26, 2023 Original Analysis

What’s Going on With the Fed Balance Sheet?

We tend to focus a lot on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy, while the central bank’s balance sheet stays in the background. But the balance sheet arguably has more impact on the economy over the long run. Since the Fed began hiking interest rates in March 2022, it has also shrunk the balance sheet. […]

June 21, 2023 Original Analysis

Jerome Powell’s Open-Mouth Operations

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday (June 21). The Fed chief engaged in some more open-mouth operations, trying to guide monetary policy with words instead of actions. To understand a few things he said, you have to read between the lines. Oh, and he also got at […]

June 21, 2023 Original Analysis

The National Debt Is a Ticking Time Bomb

Last week, the national debt pushed above $32 trillion. This is a ticking time bomb that will eventually explode.

June 19, 2023 Original Analysis

National Debt Quietly Blows Past $32 Trillion

The great anti-federalist Brutus wrote, “I can scarcely contemplate a greater calamity that could befall this country, than to be loaded with a debt exceeding their ability ever to discharge.” And here we are. With little fanfare, the national debt blew past $32 trillion last week.

June 15, 2023 Original Analysis

Have We Seen the Last Fed Rate Hike of This Cycle?

As was widely expected, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) put rate hikes on pause at the June meeting, although it indicated we should expect additional hikes before the end of the year. The question is how long will the pause last and will the next Fed move actually be a rate cut?

June 14, 2023 Original Analysis

At Its Core Price Inflation Still Running Hot

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by the smallest annual amount in more than two years in May. This means the inflation fight is over and inflation lost, right? Not so fast.

June 7, 2023 Original Analysis

National Debt Surges By Over $350 Billion in One Day After Debt Ceiling Deal

I warned you. I said when the fake debt ceiling fight ended, the real problems would begin. Well, the debt ceiling fight is over, and here we are. On the first working day after the so-called Fiscal Responsibility Act went into effect, the national debt surged by $359 billion.