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May 5, 2022 Original Analysis

Buckle Up for a Crashing Economy and More Inflation

Jerome Powell began hinting that inflation might be a problem last August. In November, Powell retired the word “transitory.” But here we are in May and the Federal Reserve still hasn’t done anything substantive to address the inflation problem. And now it may be too late. It’s probably time to buckle up for more inflation […]

May 4, 2022 Original Analysis

Student Loan Forgiveness: Who Pays?

Student loan forgiveness has been in the news lately. There are a number of different plans being floated, from blanket debt repudiation up to various amounts, to more limited income-based schemes. But nobody ever talks about a key question: who is going to pay for it? Well, you will.

April 27, 2022 Original Analysis

Oops! Our Bad! IMF Director Admits “We Printed too Much Money”

Mostly we get lies, spin and obfuscation from central bankers, politicians and bureaucrats. But every once in a while, one of these people accidentally wanders into the truth. IMF Director Kristalina Georgieva did just that during a recent panel discussion hosted by CNBC. She conceded that central banks globally “printed too much money and didn’t […]

April 21, 2022 Original Analysis

Don’t Miss the “Real” Story on Rising Bond Yields

Earlier this week, the yield on the 30-year Treasury rose above 3% for the first time since April 2019 as the carnage in the bond market continues. Rising yields have put pressure on gold. The yellow metal flirted with $2,000 an ounce but has since fallen below the $1,950 resistance. Once again, investors are fixated […]

April 20, 2022 Original Analysis

The Tax Man Cometh; He Always Does

Monday was tax day. I don’t know about you, but my wallet is lighter. As always, I had to write a big check. But I took solace in the fact that I’m helping create a more civilized society!

April 19, 2022 Original Analysis

Oof! That Didn’t Age Well!

On July 23, 2020, CNBC published an article by Elizabeth Schulze headlined: Here’s why economists don’t expect trillions of dollars in economic stimulus to create inflation. That one didn’t age well, did it?

April 13, 2022 Original Analysis

The Inflation Freight Train Keeps on Rolling

The inflation freight train is still hurtling down the track at breakneck speed. Everybody expected a big Consumer Price Index number for March. When it was all said and done, we got what was expected. And then some.

April 12, 2022 Original Analysis

Peter Schiff: March Madness in the Bond Market

There was a little March Madness on Wall Street. In fact, the month turned into an old-fashioned blood bath. But you wouldn’t have found any carnage in the stock market. In fact, the Dow Jones gained a decent 2.3% on the month. But beneath that glittery stock market stage (that attracts the most investor attention) there […]

April 7, 2022 Original Analysis

Why Won’t the Fed Be Able to Shrink Its Balance Sheet?

Earlier this week, Federal Reserve governor and vice-chair nominee Lael Brainard indicated the central bank will shrink its balance sheet at a “considerably” more rapid pace than it did during the previous cycle. I, Peter Schiff and a few others outside the mainstream have said the Fed won’t be able to do this. Why not?

March 29, 2022 Original Analysis

The National Debt Doesn’t Matter?

The national debt stands at $30.3 trillion and the US government continues to run massive deficits. But does it really matter? Some people say that it doesn’t because “we just owe the debt to ourselves.”