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January 18, 2023 Original Analysis

Here We Go Again! It’s Time for Another Debt Ceiling Fight

Here we go again. The clock is ticking down to another US debt ceiling fight. According to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, the US government will officially bump up against the debt ceiling Thursday (Jan. 19).

January 12, 2023 Original Analysis

Is “Cooling” CPI Setting the Stage for More Inflation?

Based on the headline numbers, price inflation cooled again in December, boosting market optimism that the Federal Reserve will continue to ease off the pedal on its monetary tightening. But this could be setting the stage for more price inflation down the road. And a deeper look at the data reveals that a lot of […]

January 2, 2023 Original Analysis

Have You Broken That New Year’s Resolution Yet?

We’re just a few days into the new year. How are resolutions going? Mine are going fantastic! I didn’t make any.

December 29, 2022 Original Analysis

Slow Pace of Balance Sheet Reduction Calls Into Question Fed’s Commitment to Inflation Fight

Most people have focused on Federal Reserve interest rate cuts as it battles price inflation. But there is another element in the inflation fight most people ignore – balance sheet reduction. It isn’t going well.

December 27, 2022 Original Analysis

Big Spending Bill Is a Big Problem for the Fed’s Inflation Fight

Just before Christmas, Congress passed a massive omnibus spending bill. This is yet another blow to the Federal Reserve’s feckless fight against inflation.

December 22, 2022 Original Analysis

The Fed Is Making Things Up as It Goes Along

The Federal Reserve would like you to think that it is scientifically guiding the economy with carefully calculated monetary policy. The truth is the Fed is making things up as it goes along.

December 21, 2022 Original Analysis

In Surprise Move Bank of Japan Allows Bond Yields to Rise

While most central banks around the world have tightened monetary policy in an attempt to bring price inflation under control, Japan has done the exact opposite. But in a surprise move, the Bank of Japan widened its target range for 10-year Japanese bond yields, effectively raising the interest rate. The move strengthened the yen, put […]

December 19, 2022 Original Analysis

Silver and Gold! Or Peppermint?

‘Tis the season for Christmas specials. I’m not going to lie – even as a grown man, I love watching Christmas specials. Snoopy decorating his dog house. The Grinch folding up the Christmas tree like an umbrella and stuffing it up the chimney. And Frosty the snowman melting in the greenhouse.

December 19, 2022 Original Analysis

Everything Is Fine…Until It Isn’t

For months, Peter Schiff, me, and a few others have been saying the economy is teetering on the brink of a collapse. But nothing has happened. Are we just wrong?

December 14, 2022 Original Analysis

The Fed Hikes Rates to Highest Level Since 2007; That’s a Big Problem

As expected, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 50 basis points at the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. That pushed the federal funds rate to 4.5%. The last time rates were this high was in 2007. That’s bad news for an economy addicted to easy money. While the pace of rate hikes […]