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July 22, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Brace Yourself for Another “Debt Ceiling” Fight

Here we go again. The clock is ticking down to another US debt ceiling battle.

July 21, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Paying More and Getting Less

In the Federal Reserve’s new world of “transitory” inflation, Americans are paying more to get less. Retail sales were up 0.6% from May to June. According to the Commerce Department, American consumers spent $621 billion on retail goods and services last month. With the big 1.7% drop in May, retail sales remained below levels in […]

July 15, 2021 ・Original Analysis

That’s His Story and He’s Sticking to It!

Despite mounting evidence to the contrary, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stuck to his “transitory” inflation narrative during testimony before the House Financial Services Committee. That’s his story and he’s sticking to it!

July 2, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Fun on Friday: Happy Secession Day!

I haven’t heard; are we allowed to celebrate the Fourth of July or nah? You may recall that after Joe Biden was elected, he said if we were good little citizens and wore our masks, we might be able to celebrate with our friends and families on the Fourth of July. But I never have […]

July 2, 2021 ・Original Analysis

The Fed vs. the Constitution: SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap July 2, 2021

Will the Federal Reserve tighten monetary policy to fight inflation? Or will it keep its loose monetary policy in place to support the fake recovery? The central bank has a profound influence on the economy, for better or for worse. But should the Federal Reserve even exist? In this episode of the Friday Gold Wrap, […]

July 1, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Since When Is a Little Rate Hike Years From Now Hawkish?

Markets reacted strongly to what many considered “hawkish” messaging coming out of the June Federal Reserve meeting. But is the Fed really taking a “hawkish” position? Peter Schiff said the Fed was engaging in a “no stick” monetary policy. And in his Friday Gold Wrap podcast, Mike Maharrey argued the Fed was a dove in […]

June 29, 2021 ・Original Analysis

The Fed Is Doing a Lot of Talking But What Is It Actually Doing?

The markets have obsessed over what the Fed is saying while almost completely ignoring what it’s actually doing. After the June FOMC meeting, markets reacted to the hint that the Fed might start raising interest rates in 2023 instead of 2024. But of course, it didn’t move rates up from zero. And while the Fed […]

June 16, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Why Are US Treasury Bond Sales Are About to Spike?

The federal government has already run a $2.06 trillion budget deficit in fiscal 2021 with four months left to go. But somewhat surprisingly, over the last few months, the national debt hasn’t increased at nearly the pace you would expect considering the budget shortfalls. Given the level of spending, borrowing should be much higher. How has […]

June 13, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Thomas Jefferson vs. the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve is the engine that drives one of the biggest, most powerful governments in the history of the world. Without the Fed, it would be difficult, if not impossible, for the government to fund its foreign wars, its massive, unsustainable social programs, the ever-growing police state, and the tangled web of corporate welfare […]

June 10, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Chipotle Menu Price Hike Spotlights Inflation Problem

Government programs, political campaigns and wishful thinking can’t trump economics. In the end, economics always wins. Chipotle’s recently announced menu price hikes bear this out.