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May 27, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Inflation Crashes the Party

It’s dawning on many investors that our post-Covid financial problems may not be as easily solved as Washington claims. The latest clue that trouble is brewing has come from the sudden and dramatic arrival of inflation. On May 12, it was revealed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) had risen 4.2% year-over-year, the fastest pace […]

May 5, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Janet Yellen’s Flip-Flop and What She’s Really Telling Us

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sent markets into a tizzy on Tuesday when she said interest rates may have to rise to keep the economy from overheating with all the government stimulus. But later in the day, she walked those comments back, claiming inflation isn’t going to be a problem and insisting that she wasn’t suggesting […]

April 29, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Jerome Powell: Same Old Song and Dance

The Federal Reserve wrapped up its April meeting yesterday. Again, there were no changes in actual policy, leaving everybody to try to parse out meaning from the FOMC’s statement and Jerome Powell’s post-meeting press conference. When you boil it all down, it was pretty much the same song and dance from  Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome […]

April 15, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Jerome Powell Admits Federal Budget “Unsustainable” But Assumes We Can Fix It Later

Through the first six months of fiscal 2021, the US government ran a record $1.7 trillion budget deficit. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said this is sustainable – for now. During a webinar sponsored by the Economic Club of Washington DC, Powell said the economy can handle the current debt load. But he did warn […]

April 6, 2021 ・Original Analysis

The Mainstream Is Wrong About Rising Bond Yields and Gold

Prices are going up. The Federal Reserve is printing money at an unprecedented rate. The US government continues to borrow and spend at a torrid pace. As Peter Schiff put it in a recent podcast, we’re adrift in a sea of inflation. Gold is supposed to be an inflation hedge. So, why isn’t the price […]

March 11, 2021 ・Original Analysis

What’s In This Stimulus Bill 3.0? And Who’s Going to Pay for It?

On Wednesday, the House gave final approval to coronavirus stimulus bill 3.0. For those keeping score at home, that brings total stimulus spending approved during the pandemic to $5 trillion. So, what exactly is all of this money going to be spent on? And who is going to pay for it?

March 4, 2021 ・Original Analysis

The Fed Will Need More than Words to Keep the Bubble Inflated

Bond yields spiked. The stock market threw a tantrum. Reuters analyst Dhara Ranasinghe called it “a tussle over borrowing costs.” The Fed won round 1, thanks to a little help from the Aussies. But even the mainstream seems to have noticed that this wrestling match isn’t over and the Fed may be forced to take […]

February 18, 2021 ・Original Analysis

The Federal Government Has No Constitutional Authority to Impose a Minimum Wage

Talk of hiking the minimum wage at the national level has ramped up in recent weeks. With the Democrats controlling the House and the Senate, and Joe Biden in the White House, it seems increasingly likely that we’ll soon see a federal $15 per hour minimum. In other words, it may soon be illegal to […]

February 8, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Peter Schiff: Ugly Ducklings Became the Darlings of Wall Street

The tale of GameStop has much more to say about the current state of investing.” The central idea in the classic Mel Brooks comedy “The Producers” is that unscrupulous Broadway impresarios could succeed fabulously by creating a play so uniquely awful that it would close on its first day.  Their idea was to oversubscribe shares […]

January 29, 2021 ・Original Analysis

Reddit Raiders Eyeball Silver

If you’re following the markets at all, you know that the price of GameStop stock skyrocketed this week. As the story goes, it was primarily driven up by retail investors on platforms such as Robinhood, and pushed by social media posts, particularly on Reddit. Now, these so-called Reddit-Raiders have set their eyes on silver.