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Peter's Blog

Get the latest headlines, market analysis, and original content from SchiffGold.

Data Dependent Series

September 30, 2019 Data Dependent Series

Last Week in Review: Monday Sept. 30, 2019

Here is a summary of some of the significant economic data/news that came out last week. Third-quarter 2019 new orders for durable goods remain on track for a second annual decline.  August 2019 Real New Orders for Durable Goods showed a monthly gain of 0.2% [1.0% ex-Commercial Aircraft], but an annual decline of 4.9% [down […]

June 8, 2016 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

A Major Red Flag in the Jobs Market Few People Are Talking About

The shockingly bad May jobs report dumped a bucket of cold water on central bankers and mainstream pundits. A June interest rate hike that was a foregone conclusion just a week ago disappeared like a teenager when it’s time to do the dishes. Suddenly, a lot of people are starting to realize the great Obama […]

April 5, 2016 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

Employment Numbers an April Snow Job

Donald Trump managed to shove his way into the spotlight again last week, claiming the US is heading for “a massive recession.” Unsurprisingly, the mainstream media scoffed at Trump’s assertion, pointing to the “great jobs report” that came out Friday. The report did show the US economy added some 215,000 jobs, slightly more than expected. […]

March 18, 2016 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

The Economic Recovery: A Myth Built Upon a Myth

No matter how much data you point to showing the health of the US economy isn’t as good as advertised, you will inevitably hear the refrain, “But look at the jobs numbers!” Just the other day, Peter Schiff appeared on Fox Business and said the US economy is likely already in recession. Peter repeated his […]

March 9, 2016 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

Jobs Numbers Point in Same Direction as Other Economic Data – Toward Trouble

No matter what kind of negative economic data comes out, President Obama, central bankers, and media analysts gloss over it and point to the “great” jobs numbers as evidence the US economy is doing well. But in reality, it’s all smoke and mirrors. Last Friday, the media reported “better than expected” labor numbers with more […]

March 4, 2016 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

Jim Rogers Says 100% Probability US Is Heading for Recession; Data Backs Him Up

Media and government officials keep telling us the economy looks great, but a peek behind the curtain tells a different story. Some people do see the writing on the wall. Peter Schiff has been saying the US may well have already entered a recession. Last month, Jim Grant echoed Peter, saying the US economy likely […]

February 22, 2016 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

Four US States Officially in Recession; Data Points to Broader Problems

With four states officially in recession, and economic data continuing to point toward a broader downturn, it’s getting increasingly difficult for officials to sell the illusion of a strong US economy. Peter Schiff has been saying for weeks that the US may already be in a recession. Recently, Jim Grant appeared on CNBC’s Closing Bell […]

January 12, 2016 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

Expect a Plunge in Corporate Earnings and Another Crack in the Economic Narrative

Peter Schiff has been saying for months that the US economy isn’t nearly as good as Federal Reserve and government officials want you to believe. Mainstream analysts and pundits seem to be doing their best to toe the line and paint a rosy picture, but we are starting to see a lot of cracks in […]

January 4, 2016 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

Atlanta Fed Slashes Q4 GDP Forecast in Half

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow estimate released today forecast a dismal 4th quarter GDP number. The forecast was nearly cut in half from 1.3% on December 23rd to 0.7% today. It remains much worse than the mainstream consensus estimates: Here’s what the Atlanta Fed had to say, citing the same manufacturing numbers Peter […]

December 16, 2015 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

Fed’s Optimism About Economy Crushed By Actual Data

The Fed appears to be skipping merrily toward an interest rate hike this afternoon, which is supposed to signal that the US economy has recovered. But as Peter Schiff has been pointing out relentlessly on his Facebook page, the actual economic data tells a completely different story. In fact, the economy isn’t nearly as good […]

November 11, 2015 Data Dependent Series Key Gold Headlines

Macy’s Q3 Report Reveals People Not Buying Stuff in “Recovering” Economy

While the government and mainstream media keep telling us, “The economy is improving, the economy is improving!” we keep getting news like this from the New York Times: With a hint at what may be in store for shoppers this holiday season, Macy’s cut its profit outlook and CEO Terry Lundgren said markdowns are likely […]