Peter's Blog

New York Manufacturing Slumps Again

New York’s manufacturing sector faced another difficult month, marking a consistent four-month decline according to the recent Empire State Manufacturing Survey released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The general business conditions index fell sharply to -16.0 in June, emphasizing the continued contraction in regional economic activity. Despite the deteriorating conditions, there is […]

Why Gold is Still King

While gold has been used to hoard wealth since the beginning of history, many mainstream experts still deride it in favor of nearly any newly invented investment opportunity. Financial advisors only suggest that gold should make up under 10% of an individual’s portfolio. Independent individual investors, dark money, and governments have recently contributed to gold’s […]

The Silver Bull is Finally Here

With silver classically lagging behind gold during the yellow metal’s stunning recent rise, the long-anticipated bull market for silver is finally here in earnest. And in a bull market, silver tends to outperform gold—once it finally catches up.

New ECB Report: Gold Surpasses Euro as Second Most Important Reserve Asset

In a report released yesterday by the European Central Bank, new data revealed that gold is now second only to the dollar as the world’s preferred reserve currency. This revelation follows a year where gold prices soared to historic highs, surpassing the inflation-adjusted peak of the 1979 oil crisis. This renewed enthusiasm for gold coincides […]

Trump’s Trade Trap: The Triffin Dilemma

As the Trump administration continues to navigate turbulent trade waters, it’s faced with an impossible set of economic trade-offs. These trade-offs, known as Triffin’s paradox, are key to understanding the United States’ current trade predicament.

Why the Money Supply Should Stay Fixed

Much of the current regime is predicated on the notion that ivory tower intellectuals are capable of determining and controlling the “optimal money supply.” In reality, this is preposterous. All the Fed’s tinkering accomplishes is cultural decline, rising prices, and misplaced anger at the private businesses that serve the economy.

Jobs: Household Survey and Downward Revisions Paint a Much Bleaker Employment Picture

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.

ECB Cuts Interest Rates Amid Persistent Economic Risks

On June 5th, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council announced another round of interest rate reductions, lowering key rates by 25 basis points. Starting June 11th, the deposit facility rate will fall to 2.00%, the main refinancing operations rate to 2.15%, and the marginal lending facility rate to 2.40%. This move underscores the ECB’s […]

Trump Needs the Money Printer

Trump has a long history of begging the Fed to print money, and in his second term, that hasn’t changed a bit. In fact, he needs the free money spigots to turn on to delay a collapse that, otherwise, he’d be blamed for.

Inflation Remains Stubbornly High in Mexico, Food Prices Surge

Mexico’s latest inflation numbers released by INEGI (Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía) on June 9th reveal continued fragility in the economy despite official reassurances. For the month of May, inflation rose 0.28% month-over-month, bringing the annual inflation rate to 4.42%. While the central bank and policymakers emphasize easing inflationary pressures, persistently high prices for […]