Peter's Blog

Ten Reasons to Doubt the Possibility of a “Soft Landing”

There is a growing consensus that the Federal Reserve can slay price inflation while guiding the economy to a “soft landing.” In fact, Fed economists now project the US economy will not spin into a recession. Other mainstream pundits and prognosticators have taken up this narrative. But there are plenty of reasons to doubt it.

More Americans Are Having a Hard Time Paying Their Big Credit Card Bills

Since price inflation took off in the wake of pandemic-era stimulus, Americans have blown through their savings and run up their credit cards to make ends meet. Now they’re starting to have a hard time paying those credit card bills. The number of Americans rolling credit card debt from month to month is now higher […]

Is This a 2007 Redux? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Aug. 18, 2023

There is a growing consensus that the Federal Reserve can successfully slay price inflation and bring the economy to a soft landing. After all, the economy appears to be chugging along. But as Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey explains, there are a lot of things bubbling under the surface that should temper that optimism. […]

The Bill Is Coming Due! SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Aug. 11, 2023

Credit cards are great until the bill comes due. And the US economy has about maxed out the plastic. The Federal Reserve incentivized borrowing and the economy is buried under trillions of dollars in debt. As Friday Gold Wrap host Mike Maharrey explains in this episode, the bill is about to come due. He also […]

Debt Chickens Are Coming Home to Roost

After the Federal Reserve incentivized borrowing with more than a decade of artificially low interest rates and easy money, the debt chickens are coming home to roost. Last week, Fitch Ratings downgraded the US’s long-term credit rating from AAA to AA+, and on Monday, Moody’s cut the credit rating of 10 small and midsize banks.

Number of US Corporate Defaults Already Bigger Than Last Year

The number of corporate debt defaults in 2023 has already exceeded the total number of defaults last year. According to data from Moody Investment Services, 55 American-based companies defaulted on loans through the first half of 2023. That was a 53% increase over the total number of defaults in 2022.

Jim Grant: We Could Be Heading Toward a Generational Bear Market in Bonds

In a recent podcast, Peter Schiff warned that we could be on the verge of a further breakdown in the bond market and that a bear market in bonds could also maul US stocks and the dollar. Financial commentator and investment guru Jim Grant has similar concerns. In a recent interview on Odd Lots Podcast, […]

Credit Card Borrowing Still Running Hot Even as Borrowing for Big-Ticket Items Tanks

Americans continued to run up credit card debt in May, but borrowing for big-ticket items tanked. This could indicate that cash-strapped, over-leveraged consumers are reaching the end of the rope. American consumers borrowed another $7.2 billion in May, increasing total consumer debt to a record $4.865 trillion, according to the latest data released by the […]

Peter Schiff: Great Depression 2.0 Is Incoming

Peter Schiff appeared on First TV’s I’m Right with Jesse Kelly to talk about the state of the economy, inflation, and the unfolding financial crisis. Peter warned that we’re heading straight toward Great Depression 2.0.

Credit Card Debt Surges Again in March Despite High Interest Rates

After pulling back slightly in February, Americans went back to borrowing on credit cards in March — despite record-high interest rates. This indicates that consumers continue to struggle to make ends meet in this deteriorating economy. It also reveals that the Fed’s monetary tightening is not cooling spending as promised.