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Peter's Blog

Get the latest headlines, market analysis, and original content from SchiffGold.

Posts Tagged: “Economic Indicators“

April 17, 2025 Guest Commentaries

GDP’s Hidden Flaws: How Spending Metrics Distort Economic Reality

As warning signs of recession grow, the political class will increasingly point to misleading statistics as proof of their competency. The most popular economic aggregate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), is worth nuancing.

March 26, 2025 Exploring Finance

M2 Grows for a 16th Straight Month

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

November 1, 2024 Exploring Finance

Jobs: Headline Report is a Disaster, Household Survey is a Train Wreck

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on.

October 23, 2024 Exploring Finance

Money Supply Grows for 11 Straight Months

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

September 3, 2024 Original Analysis

Trouble Ahead? The Gold-Oil Ratio Is Inching Back Up

The Gold-Oil ratio — which signifies how many barrels of oil you can buy with an ounce of gold — has been steadily rising since its dramatic COVID-era spike in April 2020. A high ratio tends to signify economic trouble and a weak dollar, since it demonstrates that gold has an even more dramatic rise […]

July 26, 2024 Exploring Finance

CME Gold and Silver Delivery Update July 2024

The CME Comex is the Exchange where futures are traded for gold, silver, and other commodities. The CME also allows futures buyers to turn their contracts into physical metal through delivery. You can find more detail on the CME here (e.g., vault types, major/minor months, delivery explanation, historical data, etc.).

July 26, 2024 Exploring Finance

13-Week Money Supply Suggests a Flat Stock Market for Now

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

June 26, 2024 Exploring Finance

Money Supply is Moving Back Up

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

May 29, 2024 Exploring Finance

Money Supply Growth is Flattening Out

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect.

April 3, 2024 Peter's Podcast

Peter Schiff: Gold is Telling Us the Fed is Wrong

This week Peter returned from vacation, and he was just in time for a surge in the price of gold. He discusses the factors contributing to gold’s record prices, the similarities between today and the 1970s, and data pointing to future inflation in America.