Peter's Blog

The Fed’s Cloud of Unknowing

Aside from not existing, an “ideal” central bank requires the ability to hold trust over a long period of time. The problem with the current central bank is that it changes strategies every few months depending on outside political pressures or what it thinks will smooth a period of volatility. This pattern means that all […]

Schiff w/ Lutz: Gold Signals a Dollar Crisis

On a recent appearance on Kerry Lutz’s Financial Survival Network, Peter lays out the evidence: the dollar is under pressure and gold is flashing a warning. He walks listeners through why past policy choices have amplified the coming crisis, who stands to lose the most, and how to position for what he sees as an […]

Philly Fed Index Sinks to Lowest Since April — Gold Pops Above $4,300

Manufacturing in the mid-Atlantic hit an air pocket in October, according to the Philadelphia Fed’s latest Business Outlook Survey, even as raw-material prices kept marching higher and gold flirted with fresh highs. The headline activity index cratered 36 points to –12.8—its worst showing since April—while barely one in eight firms said conditions improved. Yet selling […]

Peter Schiff: Gold Pricks the Bitcoin Bubble

In Wednesday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter concentrates on the fallout from gold breaking $4,000 and what that means for the dollar, monetary policy, and crypto. He ties the metal’s surge to the structural consequences of the dollar’s reserve status, calls out surprising admissions from big-name financiers and former Fed officials, and argues […]

Sentiment Trading and the Limits of Knowledge

While value investors examine companies’ financial data and future outlook, most short-term investment strategies now incorporate some sentiment analysis insights. Rather than analyzing the long-term ability to create value of a company, quantitative traders recognize that investor sentiment is the primary driving factor of short term price fluctuation. Far from the perfect competition assumption of […]

The Technicals: Recovering from 2011 PTSD

Editors Note I typically write the Technical Analysis quarterly. I most recently analyzed the data last month; however, the gold and silver market has seen a year’s worth of activity in the last month. Thus, I thought it would be good to review again this month. Furthermore, as someone who lived through the last blow […]

Loose Money, Tight Money, and the Illusion of Control

With the Fed’s latest rate cut still in view, economic fallacies abound. Policymakers and talking heads speak of monetary policy as a lever that can be flipped back and forth without issue. But, as the Austrian school demonstrates, simply reversing monetary course cannot undo the malinvestment caused by easy money. The following article was originally […]

Peter Schiff: Gold at $4,000 Is a Warning

Peter spends Wednesday’s podcast unpacking gold’s recent milestone and tracing how decades of monetary policy produced the moment we’re in now. He connects December futures breaking the $4,000 headline to the deeper story of the post-1971 dollar regime, sanctions-driven de-dollarization, and what he sees as an unavoidable market reckoning ahead. He opens by correcting a […]

Measure Assets in Gold, Not Dollars

A new round of tariff announcements from the Trump administration sent markets reeling, with cold coming down from its all-time high over $4,050, only to settle above $4,000, signaling collective doubt in the system itself as investors rush to protect themselves with hard assets.  Collectively, markets are reaffirming gold’s role at the center of sovereignty, […]

The Fed Wouldn’t Cut it as a Normal Bank

The Fed is governed by institutional rules that separate it in operation and incentive from all other banks. Rather than being driven by profit and benevolence, it is ruled by a convoluted system of spoken and unspoken incentives that are often at odds with one another. The purpose of the Fed is nominally to keep […]