Peter's Blog

War Is On, Oil is Up, Inflation is Coming

Wars always expose economic weaknesses that already exist. And now, as old patterns repeat themselves, we’re seeing higher energy prices, larger government deficits, and rising inflation catalyzed by the US campaign against Iran. The developing situation inIran has already sent shockwaves through global energy markets, pushing oil prices sharply higher and reigniting fears of inflation. […]

Schiff on Global Gambit: Inflation Will Define the Next Crisis

On Monday, Peter appeared on Global Gambit with host Pyotr Kurzin to discuss the latest in geopolitics. Peter walks through the market and geopolitical fallout from the recent conflict in Iran and explains why the immediate market moves are misleading. He ties the spike in inflation not just to oil but to larger fiscal choices—bigger […]

Schiff on Triangle Investor: The Dollar is on the Decline

Last week Peter appeared on Triangle Investor to discuss the latest economic news, including last week’s 2.4% CPI figure. Over the course of the interview he connects rising precious metal demand to central bank behavior, warns that runaway interest costs are about to reshape federal finances, critiques crypto’s fragile dynamics, and explains how artificially low […]

Why Governments Don’t Determine Money’s Value

With inflation still running hot and disastrous jobs data coming in, it’s tempting for policymakers to spread myths about the economy, particularly around the origin and nature of money. As the Austrian school demonstrates, fiat money– and all money for that matter– does not derive its value from dictates of the government. The following article […]

Schiff w/ Nawfal: War is an Economic Scapegoat

On Tuesday, Peter joined Mario Nawfal for a discussion about the constitutional limits on war, the likely political and economic consequences of a U.S. confrontation with Iran, and the fiscal realities that would follow. He ties those foreign-policy risks back to money and markets, warning that debt, central-bank money printing, and a weak production base […]

Fiat Money, Empire, and the Illusion of Stability

With the dollar slipping and trade policy whiplash dominating the news cycle, it seems the American empire is under economic threat. It’s no wonder then that the Trump administration is so preoccupied with lowering interest rates; central banking, after all, is the key enabler of economic and military intervention, both at home and abroad. The […]

Fed is Adding $20B a Month to the Balance Sheet

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet As soon as the Fed ended Quantitative Tightening, they launched a new round of Quantitative Easing. As shown […]

Rate Cut Crisis Barely Dodged With New Jobs Numbers

Just a few days ago, it seemed that the US was on the verge of a recession. While the long-term trajectory is still one that is far too tenuous to rely on, the recent jobs report seems to suggest that the US is not headed for immediate recession. Although the status of the US in […]

CPI vs. Zoe’s Grocery Receipt: Which Inflation Measure Tells the Truth?

In a welcome reminder that all inflation measurements are fundamentally arbitrary, a recent TikTok went viral for showing the extremes of inflation over the last two decades. Perhaps this virality will teach Gen Z a thing or two about inflation, its true causes, and why the state is prone to downplay the true extent of […]

Schiff on Reality Check: Get the Government Out of Money

Peter joined Michael Simmons on Reality Check last week to explain why the recent drops in gold and silver are exactly the kind of price action investors should welcome. He connects the sell-off to forced liquidations in other markets, walks through decades of Federal Reserve (the Fed) policy mistakes, and warns that continued dollar creation […]