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Posts Tagged: “fiscal deficits“

March 17, 2026 Interviews

Schiff on Global Gambit: Inflation Will Define the Next Crisis

On Monday, Peter appeared on Global Gambit with host Pyotr Kurzin to discuss the latest in geopolitics. Peter walks through the market and geopolitical fallout from the recent conflict in Iran and explains why the immediate market moves are misleading. He ties the spike in inflation not just to oil but to larger fiscal choices—bigger […]

July 15, 2024 Original Analysis

Inflation “Cooled” in June, So Why is Consumer Confidence Still Tanking?

The recent CPI report showed that inflation is, according to official data, cooling down — so why are consumers more worried for the future than they’ve been in months? If prices are coming down, shouldn’t that fuel higher confidence and a greater collective sense of economic well-being? One simple answer is that the official data […]

July 11, 2024 Original Analysis

The Yield Curve & Christine Lagarde Agree — Don’t Expect A “Soft Landing”

An inverted Treasury yield curve has historically been associated with economic downturns, preceding every recession since the late 1960s. Earlier this year, it set a new record for remaining inverted for more than 624 days, which was the 1978 record.