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Peter’s Blog

Get the latest headlines, market analysis, and original content from SchiffGold.

Posts Tagged: “global economy

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September 3, 2024Original Analysis

Trouble Ahead? The Gold-Oil Ratio Is Inching Back Up

The Gold-Oil ratio — which signifies how many barrels of oil you can buy with an ounce of gold — has been steadily rising since its dramatic COVID-era spike in April 2020. A high ratio tends to signify economic trouble and a weak dollar, since it demonstrates that gold has an even more dramatic rise […]

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July 1, 2024Original Analysis

Is France the Next Greece?

French markets have found some relief after the first round of its latest election, with stocks recovering somewhat and bond yields falling after reaching a 12-year high. But no matter which side wins in France, the market is afraid that an increase in unsustainable spending could be the common denominator. 

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May 3, 2024Original Analysis

Inflation Brewing: Is Coffee the Next Cocoa?

Cocoa prices have dumped since rocketing to a dramatic peak last month as an El Nino cycle winds down and traders rush out of the illiquid market. For now, depreciating fiat currencies are still keeping the cocoa price still far above its 2023 levels. Coffee has had a similar rise and subsequent correction — but now, inflation and other factors are conspiring to […]

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April 18, 2024Original Analysis

When Will the Yen Carry Trade Break?

Decades of negative interest rate policy in Japan have ended. That could mean the end of the $20 trillion “yen carry trade,” once one of the most popular trades on foreign exchange markets, and a chain reaction in the global economy. The yen carry trade is when investors borrow yen to buy assets denominated in […]

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