Peter's Blog

CFTC CoTs: Managed Money Gets Bullish on Gold

Please note: the CoTs report was published 06/26/2026 for the period ending 06/23/2026. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders report is a weekly publication that shows the breakdown of ownership in the Futures market. For every contract, there is a long and a short, so the net positioning will […]

The Fed Balance Sheet Increases by $31B in June

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet As soon as the Fed ended Quantitative Tightening they launched a new round of Quantitative Easing. As shown […]

Fed Projects Stickier Inflation; Gold Touches $4,365

On June 17th, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept its federal-funds-rate target at 3.50–3.75 percent, repeating its wait-and-see stance even as headline inflation refuses to retreat to the central bank’s two-percent objective. In a unanimous 12–0 vote, policymakers argued that U.S. growth “is expanding at a solid pace” and promised, in their words, “The […]

Peter Schiff: Inflation Beat the Fed

On Friday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter walks listeners through the fiscal and monetary forces that make inflation all but inevitable. He ties together soaring debt service, a bubble-driven stock market, wartime spending, and misguided corporate Bitcoin bets to argue that sound money and precious metals are the sensible hedge right now. He […]

How Monetary Policy Punishes Saving

For generations, the wisdom passed down at kitchen tables was simple: spend less than you earn, save patiently, and let time do its quiet work. That world has been inverted. For over two decades, the Federal Reserve has systematically penalized savers through artificially low interest rates and persistent inflation, undermining the concepts of sufficiency and […]

International Countries have only bought 10% of total new debt over 18 months

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet As soon as the Fed ended Quantitative Tightening they launched a new round of Quantitative Easing. As shown […]

13 Week Money Supply Growth Hits Highest Level Since 2022

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect. One key metric shown below is the “Wenzel” 13-week annualized money […]

Why Hasn’t the Iran War Pushed Gold Even Higher?

Gold prices reached record highs in early 2026 following an epic 2025, fueled by central bank buying, inflation concerns, and demand for assets outside traditional finance. Since then, gold has pulled back significantly. Conditions created by the US-Iran war that began last February have contributed to this correction, but why?  While gold is usually pumped […]

US Government Approaches $40T in Total Debt Outstanding

Current Trends The US government has borrowed nearly $450B in the last three months. While this is a gargantuan sum of money, it annualizes to ~$1.9T which would be the smallest year of borrowing since 2022. Unfortunately, the trend more likely to hold is the borrowing seen in Feb and March which clocked in at […]

Peter Schiff: Spirit Airlines Will Be a Government Boondoggle 

On Wednesday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter dissects Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s final Federal Reserve conference and what it signals about monetary policy going forward. He tackles the surreal optics of a central banker promising to remain on the decision-making committee after his term ends, questions the Fed’s inflation credibility, and connects the […]