Peter's Blog

U.S. private-sector hiring slipped into negative territory last month, according to the November ADP National Employment Report released December 3rd. Payrolls fell by 32,000 positions—an abrupt reversal that economists say underscores gathering economic headwinds and a wary consumer. Small businesses were the hardest hit, shedding 120,000 jobs, while the spot price of gold briefly punched […]

Manufacturing in the mid-Atlantic hit an air pocket in October, according to the Philadelphia Fed’s latest Business Outlook Survey, even as raw-material prices kept marching higher and gold flirted with fresh highs. The headline activity index cratered 36 points to –12.8—its worst showing since April—while barely one in eight firms said conditions improved. Yet selling […]

July’s advance purchasing-manager numbers paint a tale of two economies. The S&P Global Flash U.S. Composite PMI jumped to 54.6—its best showing in seven months—thanks almost entirely to a roaring service sector that notched a 55.2 reading. Manufacturing, by contrast, slipped back into contraction territory at 49.5, a full three points below Wall Street’s consensus […]

Manufacturing in the Federal Reserve’s Fifth District hit the brakes hard in July, and the yellow metal took notice. The Richmond Fed reported Tuesday that its composite manufacturing index collapsed to –20 from June’s already-weak –8, falling well below the consensus expectation of -2. Shipments, new orders, and employment all sank deeper into negative territory, […]

New York’s manufacturing sector faced another difficult month, marking a consistent four-month decline according to the recent Empire State Manufacturing Survey released by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The general business conditions index fell sharply to -16.0 in June, emphasizing the continued contraction in regional economic activity. Despite the deteriorating conditions, there is […]

Tariffs are being pitched as a magic bullet to revive American manufacturing, pushing out foreign competitors to bring red, white, and blue factories humming back to life. It sounds great: tax imports to bring companies back to the States, and generate a flood of revenue in the process as jobs flood back to the heartland. […]

In a recent debate hosted by Zero Hedge and George Gammon, Peter Schiff engages in a pointed discussion on tariffs, trade deficits, and their implications for the American economy. Facing off against the pro-tariff Spencer Morrison, Peter highlights the misguided nature of tariffs, the detrimental impact they have on domestic manufacturing, and warns of severe […]

On a recent appearance on the Soar Financially YouTube channel, Peter discusses Trump’s tariffs, currency concerns, and the shaky state of the U.S. economy. Peter explains why tariffs won’t revive U.S. manufacturing, warns of worsening damage from a weakening dollar, and advises investors to recognize the ominous signs pointing toward a bear market.

The latest S&P Global Flash US PMI Composite Output Index for March signaled a mixed economic outlook, rising to 53.5 from February’s 51.6. Stronger performance in services gave optimism, as the Flash US Services PMI Business Activity Index surged notably to 54.3, up from the prior month’s 51.0. However, manufacturing painted a different, troubling picture: […]

President Trump continues to make waves with tariffs, with each announcement sending the market into a frenzy. Whether said tariffs will make economic life better is doubtful, but one thing is certain. It is foolish to entrust the power to levy such taxes to one man.