Peter's Blog

The Fed’s Cloud of Unknowing

Aside from not existing, an “ideal” central bank requires the ability to hold trust over a long period of time. The problem with the current central bank is that it changes strategies every few months depending on outside political pressures or what it thinks will smooth a period of volatility. This pattern means that all […]

When Does Gold Finally Correct?

Gold’s meteoric rise has captured the world’s attention and is leaving the usual voices in traditional finance stupefied. There’s talk of bubbles, frenzies, and froth. Gold is down now from its peak, but when will it substantially correct?  On a long enough timeline, when central bankers print infinite amounts of fiat currency, gold is bound […]

Philly Fed Index Sinks to Lowest Since April — Gold Pops Above $4,300

Manufacturing in the mid-Atlantic hit an air pocket in October, according to the Philadelphia Fed’s latest Business Outlook Survey, even as raw-material prices kept marching higher and gold flirted with fresh highs. The headline activity index cratered 36 points to –12.8—its worst showing since April—while barely one in eight firms said conditions improved. Yet selling […]

Peter Schiff: Gold Pricks the Bitcoin Bubble

In Wednesday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter concentrates on the fallout from gold breaking $4,000 and what that means for the dollar, monetary policy, and crypto. He ties the metal’s surge to the structural consequences of the dollar’s reserve status, calls out surprising admissions from big-name financiers and former Fed officials, and argues […]

Sentiment Trading and the Limits of Knowledge

While value investors examine companies’ financial data and future outlook, most short-term investment strategies now incorporate some sentiment analysis insights. Rather than analyzing the long-term ability to create value of a company, quantitative traders recognize that investor sentiment is the primary driving factor of short term price fluctuation. Far from the perfect competition assumption of […]

Loose Money, Tight Money, and the Illusion of Control

With the Fed’s latest rate cut still in view, economic fallacies abound. Policymakers and talking heads speak of monetary policy as a lever that can be flipped back and forth without issue. But, as the Austrian school demonstrates, simply reversing monetary course cannot undo the malinvestment caused by easy money. The following article was originally […]

The Coming Crisis of the American Tax State

Two weeks into the government shutdown, many eyes are on the federal budget. Now is as good a time as any to remind the public both why the US should properly be called a “tax state” and why that’s not a good thing for the country. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

No, Inflation is not “Crushed”

Trump has repeatedly claimed that he has beaten inflation. His high spending “Big Beautiful Bill,” along with his desperate calls for expansionary monetary policy draw ire from anyone who understands the world from an Austrian perspective. However, he still has the audacity to claim that he has solved inflation, and we no longer need to […]

The Fed Wouldn’t Cut it as a Normal Bank

The Fed is governed by institutional rules that separate it in operation and incentive from all other banks. Rather than being driven by profit and benevolence, it is ruled by a convoluted system of spoken and unspoken incentives that are often at odds with one another. The purpose of the Fed is nominally to keep […]

The State’s Endless Quest for a Free Lunch

Through its insistence on controlling the money supply, the modern state has turned coin clipping and rank monetary debasement into exalted progressive doctrine. The state’s printing of new money seems like a “free lunch,” but we all know that there’s no such thing. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions […]