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Posts Tagged: “PCE“
New Insights from the Fed’s Meeting Minutes: Market Expects Rate Cuts
Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s June 17–18 meeting show policymakers content to hold their fire—for now. The Fed kept its benchmark federal-funds range at 4¼–4½ percent and left both the interest rate on reserve balances (4.4 percent) and the primary-credit rate (4.5 percent) untouched. Officials insisted that “recent indicators suggest that economic activity […]
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U.S. Economy Stumbles into Negative Territory Amid Rising Inflation and Imports
America’s economy contracted slightly in the first quarter of 2025, with real GDP slipping 0.3%, reversing from a solid 2.4% growth seen in the previous quarter. According to the advance estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), the downturn was largely driven by surging imports and reduced government spending. Despite underlying resilience in […]
The Fed Can No Longer Ignore Stubborn Inflation
Last week’s inflation data confirms what many economists have been saying for months: the Fed’s inflation target is not achievable anytime soon. In fact, many economic signals suggest the opposite: inflation is here to stay, and even the Fed realizes it.
Fed’s Favorite Inflation Measure Revised Higher
Price inflation has been even worse than advertised. Of course, you know that because you’ve lived it. But it is nice when the data crunchers swerve a little closer to reality. The Bureau of Economic Analysis did just that, revising its Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data higher for the entirety of this inflation cycle.
Services Price Inflation at Highest Level Since 1984
Energy prices have moderated and the price of some goods has dropped in recent months, but the cost of services continues to rise at a red-hot pace and is at the highest level since 1984. As a result, the core personal consumption expenditures price (PCE) index rose by 4.6% year on year. This is yet […]
Fed’s Favorite Price Inflation Measure Comes in Slightly Hotter Than Expected
The Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation indicator came in slightly higher than expected for November. This is another indication that while price inflation appears to be easing some, the data indicates it is far from whipped.