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Posts Tagged: “recession“

August 28, 2026 Original Analysis

Consumer Confidence Slips Again, Future Outlook Darkens

The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell 0.8 points to 89.4 in August, down from 90.2 in July, based on a survey conducted between August 3rd and August 16th. The decline marks the second consecutive monthly drop, though the headline figure masks a sharper divergence beneath the surface. While consumers grew somewhat more upbeat about […]

August 7, 2026 Exploring Finance

Household Survey Shows 1.8M Jobs Lost in 2026 so far

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

July 30, 2026 Original Analysis

Consumer Confidence Declines Again; Gold Over $4,000

U.S. households grew more pessimistic in July, according to the latest data from the Conference Board, and investors responded by sending gold to yet another record. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell 1.4 points to 90.8 (1985=100), down from an upwardly revised 92.2 in June and continuing a decline that has persisted since late […]

May 11, 2026 Peter's Podcast

Peter Schiff: Jobs Are Worse Than They Say  

On Friday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter takes apart the latest employment numbers and warns that financial markets are already discounting an ideal outcome few can reasonably expect. He walks listeners through why headline job gains are misleading, why stock valuations rest on optimistic assumptions about war and AI, and why the nation’s […]

May 11, 2026 Exploring Finance

Headline Report and Household Survey Show an Employment Gap of 341k Jobs in April

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

April 30, 2026 Interviews

Schiff on Resource Talks: Oil Will Stay High, the Fed Blew It

Last week, Peter joined Mark on Resource Talks to walk through how higher energy prices, central-bank policy, and market psychology are shaping the next few years. He argues oil is likely to remain elevated even if a war ends, warns that inflation is driven by monetary responses rather than commodity shocks alone, and urges investors […]

April 15, 2026 Original Analysis

Consumer Sentiment Has Never Been This Bad

Consumer sentiment has hit an all-time low in America as the promises of Trumpenomics like a flood of tariff wealth, slashed income taxes, and lower prices are washed away by the tides of war, low growth, bad math, and money printing. Politicians want to be good at math when it serves them, and terrible at […]

April 4, 2026 Exploring Finance

Household Survey Shows a YTD Loss of 1.4M Jobs

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

April 3, 2026 Guest Commentaries

Trust the Market, Not Government Stimulus

Some commentators are of the view that one cannot trust the market economy, which is seen as inherently unstable. If left free, the market economy could lead to self-destruction. Hence, there is the need for the government and the central bank to manage the economy. It is held, in this framework, that successful management could be achieved […]

March 24, 2026 Interviews

Schiff w/ La Roche: The Fed Should’ve Hiked

Last week, Peter joined Julia La Roche to discuss the Fed’s latest antics after Jerome Powell announced that rates will be held steady for at least another FOMC meeting cycle. Peter responds, warns that the consequences of the Fed’s inaction will be higher inflation, a weaker dollar, and a reassessment of what people consider real […]

March 21, 2026 Interviews

Schiff on Fox Business: The Fed Just Admitted It’s Powerless

On Wednesday Peter appeared on Fox business to dissect the latest PPI figures and the Fed’s newest decision to hold rates steady. Peter argues the Federal Reserve is out of touch, inflation is already running hot, and recent geopolitical shocks will only make a fragile U.S. balance sheet worse. To support his case, he walks […]