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Posts Tagged: “recession“

Consumer Confidence Slips Again, Future Outlook Darkens
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell 0.8 points to 89.4 in August, down from 90.2 in July, based on a survey conducted between August 3rd and August 16th. The decline marks the second consecutive monthly drop, though the headline figure masks a sharper divergence beneath the surface. While consumers grew somewhat more upbeat about […]

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Household Survey Shows 1.8M Jobs Lost in 2026 so far
The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

Consumer Confidence Declines Again; Gold Over $4,000
U.S. households grew more pessimistic in July, according to the latest data from the Conference Board, and investors responded by sending gold to yet another record. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell 1.4 points to 90.8 (1985=100), down from an upwardly revised 92.2 in June and continuing a decline that has persisted since late […]

Peter Schiff: Jobs Are Worse Than They Say
On Friday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter takes apart the latest employment numbers and warns that financial markets are already discounting an ideal outcome few can reasonably expect. He walks listeners through why headline job gains are misleading, why stock valuations rest on optimistic assumptions about war and AI, and why the nation’s […]

Headline Report and Household Survey Show an Employment Gap of 341k Jobs in April
The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

Schiff on Resource Talks: Oil Will Stay High, the Fed Blew It
Last week, Peter joined Mark on Resource Talks to walk through how higher energy prices, central-bank policy, and market psychology are shaping the next few years. He argues oil is likely to remain elevated even if a war ends, warns that inflation is driven by monetary responses rather than commodity shocks alone, and urges investors […]

Consumer Sentiment Has Never Been This Bad
Consumer sentiment has hit an all-time low in America as the promises of Trumpenomics like a flood of tariff wealth, slashed income taxes, and lower prices are washed away by the tides of war, low growth, bad math, and money printing. Politicians want to be good at math when it serves them, and terrible at […]

Household Survey Shows a YTD Loss of 1.4M Jobs
The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

Trust the Market, Not Government Stimulus
Some commentators are of the view that one cannot trust the market economy, which is seen as inherently unstable. If left free, the market economy could lead to self-destruction. Hence, there is the need for the government and the central bank to manage the economy. It is held, in this framework, that successful management could be achieved […]

Schiff w/ La Roche: The Fed Should’ve Hiked
Last week, Peter joined Julia La Roche to discuss the Fed’s latest antics after Jerome Powell announced that rates will be held steady for at least another FOMC meeting cycle. Peter responds, warns that the consequences of the Fed’s inaction will be higher inflation, a weaker dollar, and a reassessment of what people consider real […]

Schiff on Fox Business: The Fed Just Admitted It’s Powerless
On Wednesday Peter appeared on Fox business to dissect the latest PPI figures and the Fed’s newest decision to hold rates steady. Peter argues the Federal Reserve is out of touch, inflation is already running hot, and recent geopolitical shocks will only make a fragile U.S. balance sheet worse. To support his case, he walks […]
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