Peter's Blog

Treasury Market Liquidity and Volatility Problems Could Derail Fed Balance Sheet Reduction

Interest rate hikes get most of the attention as the Federal Reserve fights inflation, but balance sheet reduction is arguably more important. And it’s not going well. Since the Fed stopped buying Treasuries and started letting bonds fall off its books as they mature, the bond market has experienced increasing volatility and liquidity problems. In […]

Yield Curve Inversions Flashing Recession Warning Signal

We’ve seen a number of inversions in the Treasury bond yield curve over the last couple of weeks. This is a recession warning signal. In his podcast, Peter Schiff said the markets are right about the looming recession. But they’re not getting the whole picture.

The Technicals for Gold: Yet Another Battle at $1800

Gold looked very strong through mid-November. Trends in September and October had been pointing to a breakout. The market delivered sending gold up through $1870. Unfortunately, hard resistance kept the bulls in check, despite repeated attempts to breakthrough. The previous price analysis presumed that a Brainard nomination at the Fed would be the catalyst needed to break through $1880. […]

Peter Schiff: Gold Is an Inflation Safe Haven, Not Bonds

Gold and bonds are both considered to be safe havens. But in a recent podcast, Peter explained why bonds are not a safe haven in an inflationary environment. In fact, bonds – including US Treasuries – are risk assets when inflation is running hot. If you want safety from inflation, you need to buy gold.

Fed Expands Record Holdings of US Debt

The Federal Reserve expanded its record holdings of US Treasuries in the fourth quarter of 2020 as it continued monetizing the massive federal debt. The Federal Reserve added another $253 billion to its Treasury holdings in Q4 according to the Fed’s Treasury International Capital data released on Feb. 16. That brought the central bank’s US […]

Foreign Share of US Debt Plunging; Fed Picking Up the Slack

Over the last year, the US government had borrowed over $4.2 trillion. The national debt now stands well above $27 trillion. There is no end in sight to the borrowing and spending and that raises a significant question: who is going to buy all of the bonds necessary to finance the government spending machine? Not […]

The Fed Now Holds a Record Percentage of US Debt

The US government has borrowed $4.2 trillion in the last 12 months, pushing the total national debt to over $27 trillion. In order for Uncle Sam to borrow, somebody has to lend. So, who is buying all of these government bonds? Foreign and domestic investors, commercial banks and US government entities all buy US debt, […]

What Happens When the Bond Bubble Pops?

Celsius Network, founder and CEO Alex Mashinsky calls the bond market, “the biggest bubble that hasn’t burst yet.” And when the massive bond bubble pops, that’s when the real earthquake begins. The US Treasury Department is pumping out bonds like there’s no tomorrow. It announced this week that it plans to borrow $2.99 trillion in […]

Is Coronavirus the Pin that Pricked the Bubble? SchiffGold Friday Gold Wrap Feb. 28, 2020

It’s been a wild ride on Wall Street this week — all downhill. Stocks entered correction territory Thursday and are on track for the worst week since the 2008 financial crisis. As Peter has put it, this stock market is a bubble looking for a pin. Is the coronavirus the pin? In this episode of […]

Peter Schiff: Gold Is Living Up to Its Reputation

As turmoil continues in the markets with stocks selling off due to continued fears over coronavirus and its potential economic impact, Peter Schiff says gold is doing exactly what it’s supposed to do — serving as a safe haven and a store of value.