Peter's Blog

America’s $3.5 Trillion Deficit: A Fiscal Crisis in the Making

2025 is staged for a record-breaking year of debt. Although the incoming Trump administration projects an attitude of fiscal responsibility, drastic action will need to be taken to stave off adding trillions to the national debt. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of […]

Schiff on Wealthion: Prepare for a Return to QE

Peter recently joined Anthony Scaramucci for an interview on Speak Up, a YouTube show hosted on the Wealthion channel. The duo discuss Jerome Powell’s recent statement, pointing out the dissonance between his assertions and reality. Peter also predicts a return to QE-like monetary policy, noting that a recent surge in long term interest rates will […]

Schiff on Everyday Investor: The Economy Needs Deflation

In a recent discussion with Darcy Ungaro of The Everyday Investor, Peter challenged the widespread narratives surrounding government spending, the Fed’s 2% inflation target, and the policies that perpetuate these problems. Peter and Darcy highlight the underlying structural issues that plague the economy—massive government debt, intentional inflation, and a citizenry oblivious of the true cost […]

Peter Schiff: Trump’s Tax Cuts Aren’t Enough

On Friday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter discusses rising bond yields, government debt, and the economic implications of recent fiscal policies. He critiques the proposed “Department of Government Efficiency,” a recent  proposal for the government to load up on Bitcoin, and President-elect Trump’s economic rhetoric. Peter also argues that, despite the Fed’s failure […]

Not Just the US: Global Debt-To-GDP Ratios Are Skyrocketing

The US national debt is so out of control that, ironically enough, even the Federal Reserve chair has expressed concern about the problem. And while America is among the top contributors, it isn’t just the US that’s spending money it doesn’t have: after briefly declining in 2023, the global debt-to-GDP ratio is again at an all-time high.

New Schiff Interview: America Needs to Go Cold Turkey on Debt

Peter recently appeared on the Bald Guy Money show for a conversation on gold’s role in American and global politics, the influence of the BRICS coalition on metals markets, and, as always these days, the disastrous monetary policy coming out of the Fed. 

Yellen Continues Betting on Interest Rate Declines

In February, the data showed that Yellen was making a big bet that long-term rates would not stay elevated for long. This was demonstrated by the volume of short-term debt issuance. The Treasury was willing to pay higher rates to keep the maturity of the debt shorter.

Will the Next Debt Ceiling Debate Conclude in Abolishment?

The Treasury has an open data platform where they publish all of the data related to the US Treasury. This includes debt, spending, revenue, etc. Different data sets are updated at different frequencies. The official US Debt is updated monthly (typically by the fourth business day). This data can be seen in the chart below.

US Debt Analysis: Net Interest to Exceed $700B by November

While the US government is not currently adding to the national debt due to being up against the debt ceiling, it is working overtime trying to keep the government afloat. Significantly, the interest on the national debt is skyrocketing even with the temporary lull in borrowing.

The Treasury Begins Extraordinary Measures (again)

Despite hitting the debt ceiling, the US Treasury managed to add $35 billion in new debt during January. The Treasury has employed extraordinary measures, including exchanging Non-Marketable (e.g., Government employee retirement funds) and other forms of debt for short-term Bills. The balance on Bills grew by $241 billion which was the largest single-month growth since […]