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March 25, 2025Original Analysis

Can Tariffs and DOGE Eliminate the Income Tax?

Freshly-confirmed U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick recently appeared on CBS News, declaring that President Trump aims to eliminate income taxes for Americans earning less than $150,000 per year. Lutnick touted Trump’s vision for tariffs to replace the revenue lost from this massive tax cut.

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March 25, 2025Original Analysis

Flash PMI Data: Manufacturing Struggles

The latest S&P Global Flash US PMI Composite Output Index for March signaled a mixed economic outlook, rising to 53.5 from February’s 51.6. Stronger performance in services gave optimism, as the Flash US Services PMI Business Activity Index surged notably to 54.3, up from the prior month’s 51.0. However, manufacturing painted a different, troubling picture: […]

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March 22, 2025Original Analysis

Fed Holds Rates Steady, Signals Cuts Amid Rising Inflation 

In a widely anticipated move, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at around 4.3% on Wednesday but signaled potential rate cuts later this year, highlighting policymakers’ growing concerns over slowing economic growth and persistent inflation pressures. Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that external economists have revised upward their estimates of a recession […]

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March 14, 2025Original Analysis

Bessent is Right: The Economy Needs a Detox

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is right when he says that the economy needs a “detox.” To fix the problems created by decades of artificially-low interest rates, soaring deficits, out-of-control spending, a dying manufacturing base, and central bank meddling, there has to be a little bit (or a lot) of pain.

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March 11, 2025Original Analysis

Stocks Falter as Trump Hints at Economic Shift

Major stock indexes stumbled on Monday following remarks from former President Donald Trump that suggested the U.S. economy might be in for a transition period. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 890 points, a 2.1% decline, while the S&P 500 fell 2.7% and the Nasdaq Composite slid 4%. Government bond yields ticked lower, with the […]

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March 6, 2025Original Analysis

To Tariff or Not to Tariff?

First there was the first Trump trade war, which appeared to end before it began. Now, a dizzying Round Two has begun of the Trump tariff saga, and it isn’t clear what concessions will be made. But there is a common denominator: things change quickly under a Trump administration, with a rapid-fire news cycle and […]

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February 27, 2025Original Analysis

The Empirically Significant Frontier Spirit

SchiffGold’s commitment to gold arises from a strong belief in individual liberty, which is almost synonymous with what it means to be American. While personal independence from government overreach is informally a core American trait, it arose from unique historical circumstances that separated America from most other independent new nations. The American founding was ideologically […]

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February 25, 2025Original Analysis

Imprimis and the Danger of Price Controls

50 years ago, Hillsdale College released the first in a series of mailed pamphlets. At the time they could have no idea about how much this publicity arm of the college would grow in the future, or the amount of public discourse it would cause. Imprimis’ has become one of the most widely circulated academic […]

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February 22, 2025Original Analysis

The Core and Curse of DOGE

Every election Americans have been desensitized to claims of cutting spending and somehow getting everything they want at the same time. We expect that candidates will say we can have it all. We hypothetically know that cutting spending and government waste are good things, but they always take second priority to whatever urgent situation or […]

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