Peter's Blog

In his latest podcast, Peter walks through a string of warning signs flashing across the American economy, from a bond market running out of patience to consumers burning through savings just to keep up with the cost of living. He connects these dots to the tariff debate, showing who really foots the bill, and closes […]

In Wednesday’s podcast, Peter breaks down the deteriorating bond market and what it means for mortgage rates, consumer confidence, and the broader economy. He also takes aim at the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac trade promoted by the Trump administration, tying it all together with a warning that decades of easy money are finally catching […]

Last week, Peter joined host Lena Petrova on World Affairs in Context to walk through the mounting dangers facing the US economy. He lays out how the national debt, the Federal Reserve’s inflationary tools, and shortsighted political decisions are converging to set up a crisis far worse than anything Americans have experienced in modern times. […]

In a recent interview with Bitcoin Magazine, Peter breaks down the long unwind of the decades-long bond bull market and explains why he thinks the pain is far from over. He also takes aim at reckless government spending under both parties, dismisses the Fed’s tepid rate moves as irrelevant, and delivers his verdict on Bitcoin’s […]

Long-term Treasury yields are surging to levels not seen in decades, with the 10-year climbing above 4.9 percent and the 30-year above 5.3 percent, as investors brace for a flood of new government debt. Fiscal year 2026’s cumulative deficit has already reached $1.79 trillion, the largest outside the Covid era, while the national debt closes […]

In a recent interview with David Lin, Peter breaks down the futility of central bank intervention, including Japan’s efforts to prop up the yen to Washington’s inflationary tricks aimed at suppressing bond yields. He also undercuts Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s credibility, explains why falling prices are actually a good thing, and warns that decades of […]

Even as inflation continues to run well above the central bank’s stated 2% target, the Fed’s latest decision was to hold interest rates steady. The meeting’s minutes were released on Wednesday, August 19th, offering a glimpse into the Fed governors’ perspectives on the economy and their role in it. Three regional Fed presidents, Beth Hammack, […]

American citizens, the Fed, and bond markets all know: Inflation isn’t under control. When the Fed prints, they write inflation on the wall. And even if they do everything “perfectly” to return inflation to the target of 2%, that’s just slowing down the pace of their stealing. Your purchasing power is still robbed from you, […]

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet As soon as the Fed ended Quantitative Tightening they launched a new round of Quantitative Easing. As shown […]

On Tuesday, Peter appeared on Kiko News to warn that markets and the public are underestimating how costly the United States’ borrowing binge will become. He walks through bond market complacency, rising consumer inflation expectations, the danger that foreign creditors may stop funding the deficit, and how politics has dulled fiscal accountability. He also points […]