Peter's Blog

American citizens, the Fed, and bond markets all know: Inflation isn’t under control. When the Fed prints, they write inflation on the wall. And even if they do everything “perfectly” to return inflation to the target of 2%, that’s just slowing down the pace of their stealing. Your purchasing power is still robbed from you, […]

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet As soon as the Fed ended Quantitative Tightening they launched a new round of Quantitative Easing. As shown […]

On Tuesday, Peter appeared on Kiko News to warn that markets and the public are underestimating how costly the United States’ borrowing binge will become. He walks through bond market complacency, rising consumer inflation expectations, the danger that foreign creditors may stop funding the deficit, and how politics has dulled fiscal accountability. He also points […]

Earlier this week, Peter joined Harry Cole to warn listeners that the U.S. economy is running on promises it cannot keep. He lays out how trade deficits, mounting government obligations, and post-Covid spending have accelerated inflation and pushed long-term interest rates higher. Along the way he touches on the social safety net, the risk of […]

In Tuesday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter lays out a stark thesis: the next major crisis won’t be a replay of 2008’s private-credit collapse, but a sovereign-credit reckoning that threatens currencies and bond markets worldwide. He focuses on rising yields, Japan’s fragile fiscal math, and the danger to the dollar’s reserve status, nudging […]

Peter joined Fox Business on Wednesday to comment on the Fed’s newest rate cut and analyze the central bank’s precarious position going into the holidays. As with the last rate cut, Peter criticizes loosening monetary policy when inflation is far from under control, and he explains why the bond market isn’t going to play nice […]

Last week, Peter appeared on the Money Masters podcast to map out the next moves in precious metals, the dollar, and markets more broadly. He lays out a thesis of de-dollarization, warns that tariffs and weak growth will stress the bond market, and argues that the Fed’s choices are likely to entrench a stagflationary outcome. 

Current Trends The government hit the debt ceiling back in January and has been pursuing extraordinary measures since. This usually means dipping into things like Civil Service Retirement funds to free up cash and avoid borrowing any more money. As the chart below shows, the debt balance has been pretty much net neutral for the […]

The Trump administration wanted to get bond yields down, but yields have skyrocketed more than in over four decades. Investors are jittery about holding US debt in response to Trump’s trade wars and, possibly, the idea of a president who is pushing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in what would amount to a bid against the […]

On Tuesday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter takes us through this week’s turbulence in the stock and crypto markets. As new trade wars, a Bitcoin crash, and growing deficits signal stagflation, the only asset safe from the turmoil appears to be gold.