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Posts Tagged: “bond market“

August 6, 2025 Exploring Finance

Bessent Trying to Undo Yellen’s Poor Debt Management

Current Trends The government hit the debt ceiling back in January and has been pursuing extraordinary measures since. This usually means dipping into things like Civil Service Retirement funds to free up cash and avoid borrowing any more money. As the chart below shows, the debt balance has been pretty much net neutral for the […]

April 18, 2025 Original Analysis

Treasury Yields Running Amok Amidst Tariff Madness

The Trump administration wanted to get bond yields down, but yields have skyrocketed more than in over four decades. Investors are jittery about holding US debt in response to Trump’s trade wars and, possibly, the idea of a president who is pushing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve in what would amount to a bid against the […]

February 27, 2025 Peter's Podcast

Peter Schiff: Bitcoin Enters a Bear Market

On Tuesday’s episode of the Peter Schiff Show, Peter takes us through this week’s turbulence in the stock and crypto markets. As new trade wars, a Bitcoin crash, and growing deficits signal stagflation, the only asset safe from the turmoil appears to be gold.

December 17, 2024 Interviews

Schiff on Wealthion: Prepare for a Return to QE

Peter recently joined Anthony Scaramucci for an interview on Speak Up, a YouTube show hosted on the Wealthion channel. The duo discuss Jerome Powell’s recent statement, pointing out the dissonance between his assertions and reality. Peter also predicts a return to QE-like monetary policy, noting that a recent surge in long term interest rates will […]

November 27, 2024 Guest Commentaries

Commercial Real Estate Bond Distress Reaches Record High

From the national debt to negative jobs reports, data has been piling up that suggests America’s economic bubble is ready to burst. Now, with the Fed’s most recent round of rate cuts moving through the economy, fault lines are appearing in the commercial real estate sector. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

August 5, 2024 Original Analysis

Flattening Yield Curve is the Calm Before the Storm

Americans are already struggling to feed their families and pay their bills, but having predicted every US recession since 1960, the flattening bond yield curve is speaking loud and clear that an “official” downturn is nearly inevitable. With bond prices on the rise as the Fed looks increasingly likely to cut rates in September, the […]

April 26, 2024 Original Analysis

If 10-Year Yields Surpass 5%, Say Hello to QE (and Massive Inflation)

The wizards at the Fed and US Treasury have been forced to acknowledge that their “transitory,” inflation is, in fact, quite “sticky.” And with the inflation elephant now acknowledged by the circus of high finance, Treasury yields keep inching up, recently reaching 4.7% — the highest since November. The Fed is stuck: It needs to raise interest rates to tame inflation and […]

March 18, 2024 Original Analysis

Junk Bond Default Surge Continues in 2024

Consumers aren’t the only ones defaulting on their debts: Corporate bond defaults were up massively in 2023, especially for high-risk junk debt, and the trend is continuing this year at a pace not seen since the 2008 global financial crisis. Unsurprisingly, companies selling low-rated junk debt are being hit the worst.

May 24, 2023 Original Analysis

The Real Problem Begins After Congress Raises the Debt Ceiling

The debt ceiling fight is getting down to the wire. In a letter to Congress on Monday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said that without a debt ceiling increase, it was highly likely the government wouldn’t be able to meet all of its obligations by “early June, and potentially as early as June 1.” Despite the […]

February 1, 2023 Original Analysis

Fed Officials Claim They Can Shrink the Balance Sheet a Lot More; They Can’t

Federal Reserve officials insist they can still shrink the balance sheet significantly more than they already have. You can file this assertion under the same category as “inflation is transitory,” and “the problems in the subprime mortgage market are contained.” In other words, Fed officials have detached from reality — again.

January 18, 2023 Key Gold Headlines

Jim Grant: We’ve Not Seen the Last of This Inflationary Outburst

With the rate of increase in the CPI slowing, many people in the mainstream think the Federal Reserve is winning the war on inflation. In a recent podcast, Peter Schiff said this is wishful thinking. He said that the Fed is losing the war and it will ultimately surrender to inflation. Schiff is not alone […]