Peter's Blog

Peter recently joined Clayton Morris on the Redacted YouTube channel for an interview on the latest economic and geopolitical news. The duo focuses on the economic and geopolitical fallout of a widening Middle East war, and Peter argues that it is already reshaping markets, energy flows, and monetary outcomes. He connects the conflict to higher […]

The U.S. labor market took an unexpected step backward in February, shedding 92,000 non-farm payroll jobs after a modest 126,000 gain in January, according to Friday’s Employment Situation release. Headline unemployment barely budged at 4.4 percent, yet 7.6 million Americans remain officially out of work and an increasing share of them are looking for jobs […]

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde used the ECB’s 2026 Annual Global Risk Lecture in Bologna this week to deliver a stark message: “we are leaving a world where risk can be measured and modeled, and entering one of genuine uncertainty.” Her twin culprits are escalating geopolitical fragmentation and the break-neck spread of artificial intelligence. […]

America’s manufacturing engine kept chugging in February, but it’s clearly running on thinner fuel. The S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) dipped to 51.6, the softest reading in seven months and down from January’s 52.4. While any mark above 50 signals expansion, survey respondents pointed to brutal winter storms and fresh tariff levies […]

U.S. consumers perked up a bit in February, but the mood is hardly euphoric. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index rose 2.2 points to 91.2, recouping only a slice of January’s slide. Households feel slightly less threatened by recession, yet they remain uneasy about paychecks, persistent inflation, and a job market that looks sturdy on […]

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller told the National Association for Business Economics on February 23rd that the March 17th–18th Federal Open Market Committee decision is “close to a coin flip.” After three straight 25-basis-point cuts since September, the Fed paused in January—over Waller’s dissent—and left its policy rate near 4.75 percent. He argued that “the […]

On Thursday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter covers a range of market signals that, in his view, point toward rising prices and constitute even more reason to use sound money. He highlights strength in gold, a sharp bounce in oil, and the economic forces he believes will push the dollar lower: runaway federal […]

The mainstream narrative was that gold had a massive drop and revealed a fundamental weakness that was not accounted for by investors with a high risk appetite as it shot towards $6000 an ounce. Gold did experience a major downward price shift, yet its limited extent proved that gold’s price increases here to stay. Even […]

Everyone was wrong once again. From the big banks to even free market pundits, no one predicted the massive price increase of gold in so short a timeframe. Even after being disproven by gold’s rapid rise to 4000 just a few months ago, the mainstream narrative still stood that gold was slowing. Just as they […]

In a hotly-anticipated announcement, the Federal Open Market Committee shaved its federal-funds target by another quarter point on December 10th, setting the range at 3.50 – 3.75 percent. Fed officials insist the U.S. economy is still expanding at a “moderate pace,” yet the same statement concedes that job gains have cooled and unemployment inched higher […]