Peter's Blog

Lying Flat & Agency

The Chinese government anti-spy agency has recently been warning the youth to avoid lying flat. In a time of more limited economic mobility than the past, and with the same Chinese intense work culture in full effect, young people have started doing what they call lying flat. This is where they find ways to avoid […]

Fed Gov Waller Sees “Transitory” Landmines Everywhere 

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller traveled to Auburn University on April 17th bearing a familiar message: inflation may look tame if you squint, but another surprise could be lurking around the corner. While he highlighted “underlying inflation…running close to 2 percent,” recent data—from Brent crude’s surge to gasoline topping $4.10 a gallon—tells a less tranquil […]

Household Survey Shows a YTD Loss of 1.4M Jobs

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

Schiff w/ Diesen: War Will Wreck the Economy

In his latest interview with Glenn Diesen, Peter focuses on the economic fallout from the recent war and what it means for jobs, inflation, and the dollar. He argues policymakers are stampeding toward more debt and money printing at exactly the wrong time, which makes gold and silver an increasingly sensible hedge for savers who […]

A Horrendous Job Report Looks Even Worse Under the Surface

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

Why Rate Cuts Only Delay Economic Recovery

Politicians have tricked their citizens into believing that low interest rates will solve their economic troubles– perhaps by lowering housing prices or stimulating the economy out of a recession. In reality, slashing rates isn’t a cure to economic ailments; it’s a poison that corrupts saving and investment and raises prices across the economy. The following […]

Jobs: Every Jobs Report in 2025 has Been Revised Lower

The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the details, revisions, and other reports to get a better gauge of what is really going on. Current Trends The jobs report showed […]

Jobs: The Economy Only Added 28k jobs from Jan-Jun

Note: This includes the Jobs report for November that was released on December 16th and the QCEW Report released on Dec 19th The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the […]

ADP Numbers: Private Sector Dumps Over 30K Jobs

U.S. private-sector hiring slipped into negative territory last month, according to the November ADP National Employment Report released December 3rd. Payrolls fell by 32,000 positions—an abrupt reversal that economists say underscores gathering economic headwinds and a wary consumer. Small businesses were the hardest hit, shedding 120,000 jobs, while the spot price of gold briefly punched […]

Jobs: Every Month in 2025 has Been Revised Down with Two Turning Negative

Note: This is the Jobs report for September that was released late on November 20th. There will be no October jobs report The analysis below covers the Employment picture released on the first Friday of every month. While most of the attention goes to the Headline Report, it can be helpful to look at the […]