Peter's Blog

The Keynesian Demand Fallacy

Keynesian economists often attribute economic downturns to insufficient aggregate demand, arguing that government intervention is necessary to boost spending and restore growth. However, this theory fails to recognize that consumer demand is not an independent variable but rather a consequence of prior production and savings. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. […]

Fed Tries to Talk Tough on Inflation in Annual Report

The Federal Reserve’s July Monetary Policy Report, delivered to Congress last week, describes an economy running hotter than officials would like even as growth cools at the edges. Total personal-consumption-expenditure (PCE) prices are up 4.1 percent over the past twelve months, and the core gauge sits at 3.4 percent, both well above the central bank’s […]

Why Printing Money Doesn’t Create Prosperity

Mainstream economists often argue that increasing the money supply is necessary to stimulate economic growth. However, Austrian economists have long recognized that monetary expansion merely creates the illusion of prosperity while sowing the seeds of future crises. Printing money cannot create real wealth or productive resources, but instead distorts economic calculation and leads to malinvestment. […]

CFTC CoTs: Managed Money Gets Bullish on Gold

Please note: the CoTs report was published 06/26/2026 for the period ending 06/23/2026. “Managed Money” and “Hedge Funds” are used interchangeably. The Commitment of Traders report is a weekly publication that shows the breakdown of ownership in the Futures market. For every contract, there is a long and a short, so the net positioning will […]

The Fed Balance Sheet Increases by $31B in June

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. Breaking Down the Balance Sheet As soon as the Fed ended Quantitative Tightening they launched a new round of Quantitative Easing. As shown […]

Fed Talks Tough But Money Supply Explodes Higher

Money Supply is a very important indicator. It helps show how tight or loose current monetary conditions are regardless of what the Fed is doing with interest rates. Even if the Fed is tight, if Money Supply is increasing, it has an inflationary effect. One key metric shown below is the “Wenzel” 13-week annualized money […]

The Return of Easy Money Is Fueling Higher Prices

The latest figures show the money supply growing at its fastest pace in over four years, with consumer prices climbing right alongside it. Yet the Federal Reserve continues to insist its policy stance is at least moderately restrictive, even as real wages fall further behind inflation. The following article was originally published by the Mises […]

Data Needs Theory to Make Sense

Most analysts treat economic data as the starting point for understanding the economy: if GDP rises, things are good; if it falls, things are bad. What they fail to appreciate is that data without theory is meaningless, and that any interpretation of economic data already presupposes a theoretical framework, whether the analyst knows it or […]

Why Warsh Wants to Ignore Inflation’s Real Cost

As Kevin Warsh takes over as Fed chair, his stated preference for narrower, trimmed inflation measures is drawing scrutiny, and for good reason. Though it is technically correct that government-driven price hikes from wars, lockdowns, and years of interventionist policy are not “inflation” in the strict monetary sense, Warsh’s push to exclude them from the […]

Peter Schiff: Inflation Comes From Washington

In Friday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter connects the dots between Washington’s fiscal choices, Federal Reserve policy, and the asset bubbles those choices create. He covers inflation’s true drivers, the hidden costs of today’s tech buildout, why Bitcoin is vulnerable, and why gold and silver remain the prudent hedge for savers. He closes […]