Peter's Blog

The Bank of Japan’s Policy Board concluded its July 30-31, 2026 meeting with a fresh “Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices” that keeps inflation in focus. While the Bank raised its fiscal 2026 growth estimate slightly to a median 0.6 percent, it still expects consumer prices (all items less fresh food) to climb a median […]

In an unexpected echo of the 1990s, the U.S. Treasury on July 31st directed the New York Fed to sell euros and purchase Japanese yen, marking the first outright yen-buying intervention by the United States since 1998. Tokyo’s Ministry of Finance had already entered the market earlier that day, and Washington’s involvement turned the move […]

U.S. households grew more pessimistic in July, according to the latest data from the Conference Board, and investors responded by sending gold to yet another record. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell 1.4 points to 90.8 (1985=100), down from an upwardly revised 92.2 in June and continuing a decline that has persisted since late […]

Gold prices reached record highs in early 2026 following an epic 2025, fueled by central bank buying, inflation concerns, and demand for assets outside traditional finance. Since then, gold has pulled back significantly. Conditions created by the US-Iran war that began last February have contributed to this correction, but why?  While gold is usually pumped […]

Gold and oil price are connected uniquely through several different mechanisms. The recent conflict in Iran has created a massive international oil shortage and thrown the FX markets and gold prices around dramatically. While international tensions are often good for the gold market, in this situation, the price of gold experienced some dramatic downward price […]

America’s manufacturing engine kept chugging in February, but it’s clearly running on thinner fuel. The S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) dipped to 51.6, the softest reading in seven months and down from January’s 52.4. While any mark above 50 signals expansion, survey respondents pointed to brutal winter storms and fresh tariff levies […]

After a two-month data void caused by Washington’s funding standoff, the Bureau of Labor Statistics finally dropped December’s Consumer Price Index—and the numbers refuse to play along with the “mission-accomplished” narrative on inflation. Headline CPI rose 0.3 percent for the month, lifting the index to 324 and pushing the yearly gain to 2.7 percent—still north […]

Gold closed out 2025 in runaway mode, notching fresh all-time highs on 53 trading days and sprinting to an intraday peak of $4,514 per ounce on the year’s final Friday. The blistering rally ignited a historic rush into physically backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which absorbed a record $89 billion and more than doubled global assets […]

Last week, Peter joined Jennifer Sanasie on the CoinDesk YouTube channel to push back against the crypto crowd and explain why he thinks gold—not Bitcoin—will be the long-term safe haven. He walks through how gold’s breakout in 2024 carried into 2025, why central banks are buying bullion, and what true sound money really means in […]

In his post-Christmas 2025 recap, Peter walks listeners through the latest surge in precious metals and why he thinks now is the moment to act. He lays out a pattern of weekly rallies tied to Asia’s trading hours, contrasts the track record of gold and silver with speculative plays like Bitcoin and MicroStrategy, and warns […]