Peter's Blog

Current Trends The government hit the debt ceiling back in January and has been pursuing extraordinary measures since. This usually means dipping into things like Civil Service Retirement funds to free up cash and avoid borrowing any more money. As the chart below shows, the debt balance has been pretty much net neutral for the […]

The Federal Government publishes the spending and revenue numbers on a monthly basis. The charts and tables below give an in-depth review of the Federal Budget, showing where the money is coming from, where it is going to, and the surplus or deficit.

In his latest podcast, Peter tackles the Fed’s recent decision to hold rates steady, criticizing Chair Jerome Powell for downplaying inflation risks and questioning the central bank’s logic behind future rate cuts. He also addresses the patterns of foreign central banks ditching U.S. Treasuries for gold, rising national debt burdens, and the dangerous misconception that […]

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends.

The Federal Reserve often insists on its independence from political forces, but when push comes to shove, its purpose is to enable massive deficits and inflate the dollar for the government’s benefit. The following article was originally published by the Mises Institute. The opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect those of Peter Schiff or SchiffGold.

The following analysis breaks down the Fed balance sheet in detail. It shows different parts of the balance sheet and how those amounts have changed. It also shows historical interest rate trends. The analysis concludes that the resulting lack of Treasury demand is likely another reason Yellen is betting $2T on lower interest rates… she has […]

A Major Trend Change  In 2023, the Treasury added $2.6T to the national debt. While that number alone should be enough to scare anyone, the details reveal something even more concerning. $2T of it, or 77%, was financed entirely with short-term Treasury Bills maturing in less than a year. The chart below shows the debt […]

After a delicate dance of interest rate increases, Jerome Powell has declared victory on inflation and says to expect looser monetary policy this year. But with junk bond spreads not widening nearly as much as one would expect during an era of economic tightening, you’ve got to wonder if money is still actually looser than the Fed’s […]

In the realm of institutional asset management, the copper/gold ratio (blue line) has served as a key indicator for some, providing insights into the potential trajectory of 10-year Treasury yields (red line).

The US is on the brink of a debt disaster, spiraling into $33 trillion of debt. That is over 180% of GDP.  The cause? Skyrocketing government spending matched with insufficient tax revenues, leading to ever-deepening deficits. The US Treasury is now low on credit and out of time. Interest payments on this colossal debt have […]