Peter's Blog

How the Bull Moose Undermined the Bull Markets

Teddy Roosevelt is simultaneously loved and reviled by both parties. His enigmatic legacy comes as a result of his stances that maddened even his own party at the time, along with his unprecedented use of presidential power. He simultaneously attacked corporations, other countries, and racial equality, all while creating the internationally involved vision of America […]

The Fed Wouldn’t Cut it as a Normal Bank

The Fed is governed by institutional rules that separate it in operation and incentive from all other banks. Rather than being driven by profit and benevolence, it is ruled by a convoluted system of spoken and unspoken incentives that are often at odds with one another. The purpose of the Fed is nominally to keep […]

The Underlying Theory Behind Really, Really, Bad Predictions

What do the biggest banks, the most prominent news outlets, and advanced AI models have in common? They were all wrong about the 2025 gold price by over $1000. While there is always a lot of uncertainty in the financial markets, being off by over $1000(over 30% of gold’s 2024 year-end price), is embarrassing. While […]

Is It Too Late To Hop On The Gold Train?

Everyone from central banks to people saving for retirement are wondering whether now is too late to buy gold or whether the recent price increases will keep going. Gold has beat the market in the last two years, and kept even with it over the last 20 years. The rise in price of the last […]

The Shutdown and the Lying Epidemic

A government shutdown is often more of a spectacle than a reality. The long-term effects are minimal and the workers going without pay are paid as soon as the new budget is put into place. While some capitalize on the inherent, dramatic nature of the moment, most seasoned political vets see it as a bargaining […]

Three Millenia, Three Standards the US Government Isn’t Meeting

In order to understand the failings of the current American government system, it is necessary to understand where it violates ideological principles of good government. Great thinkers throughout time have all put forward visions of effective rule that have been continuously violated by our current regime for years. Ancient philosophers and modern skeptics have extremely […]

Is the Treasury’s Issuance Strategy a Stealth Bailout?

After once criticising former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s strategy of increasing the Treasury’s share of short-term debt issuance, Scott Bessent has decided to continue the same strategy. It’s part of the Trump administration’s bid to keep long-term interest rates down. But by using fiscal tools to provide low-cost liquidity to financial markets, it’s a bailout […]

Why Has the Upcoming Fed Meeting Not Bumped Gold More?

The odds are set at 94% that the federal reserve will cut rates following the September 17th meeting. Trump has pressured Powell for this for months, and if the Wednesday meeting confirms these rate cuts, it will be a historic step for the Fed. Never before has Executive Branch’s control of money been seen so […]

Jobs Mirage: BLS Slashes 911,000 Positions from the Economy

The Bureau of Labor Statistics dropped a quiet bombshell on September 9, unveiling a preliminary benchmark revision that erased 911,000 jobs from March 2025 payroll tallies. The 0.6% markdown is roughly triple the average adjustment of the past decade and instantly casts doubt on months of breezy “resilient labor market” headlines. Almost the entire shortfall […]

Why Gold is A Manipulator’s Nightmare

From 2003 to 2014, Deutsche Bank manipulated the daily price of gold. In the past, they set gold prices in conjunction with four other banks through phone calls, and they positioned themselves before releasing the prices to the public. Of course, this archaic means of price-setting was done away with, but this situation showed gold […]