Peter's Blog

Japan’s long experiment with near-zero rates and relentless deficit spending is hitting its limits, and the consequences are eventually going to hit U.S. markets. The yen’s slide toward levels not seen in decades forced Tokyo into repeated interventions, and for the first time since 1998, Washington joined in to save the U.S. and the world […]

The Bank of Japan’s Policy Board concluded its July 30-31, 2026 meeting with a fresh “Outlook for Economic Activity and Prices” that keeps inflation in focus. While the Bank raised its fiscal 2026 growth estimate slightly to a median 0.6 percent, it still expects consumer prices (all items less fresh food) to climb a median […]

In an unexpected echo of the 1990s, the U.S. Treasury on July 31st directed the New York Fed to sell euros and purchase Japanese yen, marking the first outright yen-buying intervention by the United States since 1998. Tokyo’s Ministry of Finance had already entered the market earlier that day, and Washington’s involvement turned the move […]

Can Japan just keep propping up the yen forever?  At a certain point, Japan won’t be able to just keep dumping dollars and Treasuries to prevent its currency from imploding.  With an economy so sensitive to rate hikes after decades of zero-interest rate policy, the Bank of Japan can’t endlessly jack up the cost of […]

In Tuesday’s episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter lays out a stark thesis: the next major crisis won’t be a replay of 2008’s private-credit collapse, but a sovereign-credit reckoning that threatens currencies and bond markets worldwide. He focuses on rising yields, Japan’s fragile fiscal math, and the danger to the dollar’s reserve status, nudging […]

As the west muddles through murky economic waters, many call on the Federal Reserve to hold off a recession. But, as our neighbors to the east show us, central banks are highly constrained in what they can actually accomplish, and more inflation isn’t the right move.

No one wants Japan’s sovereign debt.  The global sovereign bond collapse appears to be rapidly worsening. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) owns more than half of its own government bonds, desperate to prop up the economy by buying domestic debt that nobody else wants. But no central bank can prop up an economy forever.

Decades of negative interest rate policy in Japan have ended. That could mean the end of the $20 trillion “yen carry trade,” once one of the most popular trades on foreign exchange markets, and a chain reaction in the global economy. The yen carry trade is when investors borrow yen to buy assets denominated in […]

The Bank of Japan’s historic move to end the country’s negative interest rate policy after nearly two decades triggered a jolt upward to new all-time highs for gold against the yen. But what are the implications for gold in the medium and longer term? The answer is far from simple. 

Japan is in the midst of a slow-motion train wreck. The country has a massive national debt and it is starting to feel the pressure of rising interest rates. In his podcast, Peter Schiff talked about the situation in Japan and pointed out some disturbing parallels to what’s happening in the US.